Leicester vs Doncaster Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
King Power Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
4.07
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Leicester
Doncaster
Luke Thomas 🟨
17'
John Lundstram (Warren O'Hora) ⚽
45+1'
57'
🟨 Alfie May
59'
🟨 jay mcgrath
K. Doyle (Luke Thomas) ⚽
61'
65'
🟨 Leon Ayinde
84'
⚽ (OG) Warren O'Hora
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
7
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Leicester (4-1-4-1)
A. McCarthy
W. O'Hora
H. Souttar
C. Okoli
L. Thomas
L. Page
W. Alves
S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram
K. Doyle
E. Riis
Doncaster (3-4-2-1)
Tommy Simkin
S. Grehan
N. Byrne
J. McGrath
L. Ayinde
R. Gotts
G. Broadbent
T. Nixon
O. Bailey
I. Hutchinson
A. May
Player Ratings ?
Leicester
J. LundstramM7.8
K. DoyleM7.8
L. ThomasD7.1
Doncaster
O. BaileyM6.7
N. ByrneD6.6
Tommy SimkinG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leicester edge head-to-head, Doncaster edge defence, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Doncaster stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Doncaster have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Leicester have managed just one win and a single draw in their corresponding home sample over the same span. Leicester have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have only kept one clean sheet during that identical recent period at this venue. Doncaster rate stronger on defence, while Leicester rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2014. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
47%
Doncaster yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 50.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.0% → 50.9%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.0% → 24.1%
+0.1 pts
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.9%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Doncaster
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterDoncaster
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.13
1.25
Goals/Game
1.12
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.12
15.5
Shots/Game
13.2
5.5
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (8 matches) vs Doncaster away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.12
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.38
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Doncaster
Away form
L
D
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
2
Draws
1
Doncaster Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Leicester1 – 0Doncaster
Doncaster1 – 0Leicester
Leicester4 – 0Doncaster
Doncaster2 – 1Leicester
Doncaster1 – 1Leicester
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Doncaster
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 60.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Leicester's 10 matches and 1 of Doncaster's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?