Doncaster vs Stockport Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Keepmoat Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.74
Draw
4.00
Away Win
1.88
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Doncaster
Stockport
Owen Bailey 🟨
21'
Grant McCann 🟨
34'
49'
🟨 Jack Diamond
53'
⚽ Mamadou Jobe
58'
• Oliver Norwood
59'
⚽ Kyle Wootton (Oliver Norwood)
Darren Robinson 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
33%
Ball Possession
67%
4
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
6
9
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Doncaster (3-4-2-1)
Tommy Simkin
S. Grehan
N. Byrne
J. McGrath
L. Ayinde
R. Gotts
G. Broadbent
B. McCann
O. Bailey
A. May
B. Hanlan
Stockport (3-4-3)
Oliver Whatmuff
M. Jobe
E. O'Connell
E. Pye
R. Glover
L. Bate
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
J. Diamond
K. Wootton
H. Wood
Player Ratings ?
Doncaster
J. McGrathD6.6
Tommy SimkinG6.5
H. AdelakunF6.5
Stockport
K. WoottonF8.1
M. JobeD7.8
O. NorwoodM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stockport
Stockport rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stockport a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stockport have recorded two wins and a draw in their last five away outings, while Doncaster have secured just one victory from three draws and a single defeat during their last five home fixtures. At home, Doncaster have found the net in four of their last five matches, though they have also managed to keep two clean sheets within that same recent sample. Stockport rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Stockport won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 29 December 2025, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Doncaster's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Stockport a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 25.3%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.6% → 24.8%
+0.2 pts
Stockport win
Latest market chance 49.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.4% → 49.9%
+0.5 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DoncasterStockport
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
2nd
9
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
1.90
1.11
Goals/Game
2.10
1.22
Conceded/Game
1.10
13.2
Shots/Game
17.1
3.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Doncaster at home (6 matches) vs Stockport away (8 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
33%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Doncaster
Home form
D
D
D
L
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stockport
Away form
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Doncaster Wins
0
Draws
1
Stockport Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.0
Stockport4 – 2Doncaster
Doncaster0 – 2Stockport
Doncaster1 – 5Stockport
Stockport1 – 0Doncaster
Stockport0 – 0Doncaster
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Doncastervs
Stockport
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 55.7%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?