Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Keepmoat Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.72
Draw
3.73
Away Win
2.45
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Doncaster
Sheffield Weds
Owen Bailey ⚽
6'
14'
🟨 Ali Al-Hamadi
Owen Bailey (Isaac Hutchinson) ⚽
16'
Robbie Gotts 🟨
73'
86'
🟨 Billy Mitchell
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
19
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
8
9
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Doncaster (4-2-3-1)
Tommy Simkin
J. Sterry
S. Grehan
N. Byrne
J. Senior
R. Gotts
O. Bailey
L. Ayinde
I. Hutchinson
H. Adelakun
W. Keane
Sheffield Weds (4-4-1-1)
A. Maynard-Brewer
Y. Valery
L. Palmer
L. Cooper
M. Lowe
K. Morrison
B. Mitchell
B. Bannan
Jaden Heskey
D. Keillor-Dunn
Ali Al Hamadi
Player Ratings ?
Doncaster
O. BaileyM9.2
Tommy SimkinG8.2
I. HutchinsonM7.7
Sheffield Weds
Mason Paul James BurstowF6.7
L. CooperD6.6
A. Maynard-BrewerG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Sheffield Weds a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sheffield Weds slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sheffield Wednesday have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Doncaster have recorded just a single victory in that same span at home. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches, yet they have also managed to keep two clean sheets during that identical sequence. Sheffield Weds rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Sheffield Weds won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 19 February 2022, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Doncaster's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Doncaster's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Sheffield Weds's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Sheffield Weds a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sheffield Weds win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.5% → 34.8%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.2%
−0.1 pts
Sheffield Weds win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.1% → 39.0%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Doncaster
Draw
Sheffield Weds
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DoncasterSheffield Weds
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
0.90
Points/Game
1.80
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.2
Shots/Game
15.3
3.5
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Doncaster at home (6 matches) vs Sheffield Weds away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Doncaster
Home form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sheffield Weds
Away form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Doncaster Wins
3
Draws
0
Sheffield Weds Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Doncaster1 – 3Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds2 – 0Doncaster
Doncaster1 – 0Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds0 – 1Doncaster
Sheffield Weds0 – 2Doncaster
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Doncastervs
Sheffield Weds
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 56.3%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 60.2%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?