Cambridge vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Abbey Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.46
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.72
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Cambridge
Plymouth
12'
🟨 Alex Mitchell
Sullay Kaikai 🟨
14'
29'
🟨 Tyreeq Bakinson
41'
⚽ (OG) Louis Appere
50'
⚽ Xavier Amaechi (Harvey White)
Sullay Kaikai ⚽
57'
74'
⚽ (P) Aribim Pepple
Shayne Lavery (Zak·Bradshaw) ⚽
86'
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
20
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
5
13
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cambridge (4-2-3-1)
J. Eastwood
L. Bennett
K. Watts
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
Z. Bradshaw
P. Mpanzu
G. Hoddle
B. Knight
Raees Bangura-Williams
S. Kaikai
L. Appéré
Plymouth (3-4-3)
M. Mahoney
Julio Pleguezuelo
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
M. Sorinola
T. Bakinson
H. White
Jack Mackenzie
X. Amaechi
A. Pepple
W. Evans
Player Ratings ?
Cambridge
S. KaikaiM8.1
S. LaveryF7.6
Callum steadNone6.3
Plymouth
X. AmaechiF7.6
W. EvansF6.8
H. WhiteM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cambridge edge defence, Plymouth edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Cambridge stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Plymouth have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures without a single draw, while Cambridge have recorded two wins and two draws in their recent home outings. Cambridge have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but have kept just a single clean sheet during that same period. Cambridge rate stronger on defence, while Plymouth rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. Plymouth won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 22 April 2023, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Cambridge's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Cambridge's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points, while Plymouth's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Cambridge
Cambridge's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Cambridge win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambridge win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.9% → 39.3%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.2%
−0.5 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 34.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.4% → 34.5%
−1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambridge
Draw
Plymouth
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CambridgePlymouth
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
5th
11
Games Played
12
1.82
Points/Game
1.58
1.64
Goals/Game
1.50
1.27
Conceded/Game
1.42
14.4
Shots/Game
14.4
4.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Cambridge at home (7 matches) vs Plymouth away (7 matches)
1.57
Points/Game
1.86
1.71
Goals/Game
1.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.71
43%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambridge
Home form
L
W
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Plymouth
Away form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambridge Wins
1
Draws
3
Plymouth Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Plymouth3 – 1Cambridge
Cambridge0 – 0Plymouth
Cambridge2 – 0Plymouth
Plymouth1 – 1Cambridge
Plymouth0 – 0Cambridge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambridgevs
Plymouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 56.1%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.0%→Latest 59.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?