Burton vs Leyton Orient Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Pirelli Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.66
Draw
3.36
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Burton
Leyton Orient
M. O’Mahony 🟨
32'
33'
⚽ Alexander George Henry Gilbert
Kgagelo Chauke (Caylon Vickers) ⚽
56'
Will Collar (Caylon Vickers) ⚽
86'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
18
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Burton (3-4-2-1)
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
C. Tilt
J. Sraha
R. Borges Rodrigues
W. Collar
K. Chauke
Harvey Araujo
Caylon Vickers
C. Webster
Mark O’Mahony
Leyton Orient (3-4-2-1)
N. Baxter
F. Stevens
W. Forrester
A. Gilchrist
I. Hayden
A. Gilbert
I. El Mizouni
J. Morris
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens
J. Kabia
D. Scarlett
Player Ratings ?
Burton
Caylon VickersNone8.6
W. CollarM8.2
K. ChaukeM7.8
Leyton Orient
A. GilbertM7.1
W. ForresterD6.9
N. BaxterG6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leyton Orient edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leyton Orient stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leyton Orient slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leyton Orient stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leyton Orient have secured two victories in their last five away outings, while Burton have recorded just one win alongside three draws and a solitary defeat from their last five home matches. Burton have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have managed only a single clean sheet during that same span. Leyton Orient rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Burton's implied win probability has risen by 0.2 percentage points, while Leyton Orient's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leyton Orient win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Burton remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Burton win
Latest market chance 36.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.1% → 36.3%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.5%
+0.6 pts
Leyton Orient win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
36.0% → 35.2%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Burton
Draw
Leyton Orient
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BurtonLeyton Orient
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
12th
12
Games Played
11
1.17
Points/Game
1.27
1.33
Goals/Game
1.36
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.09
11.3
Shots/Game
11.8
3.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Burton at home (7 matches) vs Leyton Orient away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.33
1.71
Goals/Game
1.50
1.43
Conceded/Game
0.67
29%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Burton
Home form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Leyton Orient
Away form
W
W
D
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Burton Wins
2
Draws
2
Leyton Orient Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Leyton Orient2 – 2Burton
Burton0 – 4Leyton Orient
Burton2 – 1Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient0 – 0Burton
Leyton Orient1 – 2Burton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Burtonvs
Leyton Orient
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.3%→Latest 49.6%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?