Burton vs Bradford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Pirelli Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.68
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.07
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Burton
Bradford
Raphael Borges Rodrigues 🟨
44'
Curtis Tilt 🟨
51'
52'
🟨 Antoni Sarcevic
Toby Sibbick 🟨
81'
Sulyman Krubally 🟨
88'
90+4'
🟨 Ibou Touray
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
13
12
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Burton (3-4-2-1)
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
G. Evans
C. Tilt
R. Borges Rodrigues
Sulyman Krubally
K. Chauke
Harvey Araujo
Caylon Vickers
C. Webster
G. Arubi
Bradford (3-4-2-1)
J. McCracken
M. Pennington
A. Baldwin
George Christopher John Pratt
C. O'Keeffe
A. Sarcevic
C. Connolly
I. Touray
W. Swan
B. Pointon
J. Beesley
Player Ratings ?
Burton
W. CollarM6.9
C. AddaiG6.8
J. SrahaD6.7
Bradford
I. TourayM7.2
N. PowellM7.0
A. PhillipsM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Burton edge attack and head-to-head, Bradford edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Burton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Burton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bradford arrive with a strong away record of three wins and one draw from their last five outings, while Burton have found consistency elusive at home with just a single victory in the same span. At home, Burton have scored in every one of their last five matches but remain without a single clean sheet during that identical period. Bradford rate stronger on form and defence, while Burton rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Burton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Bradford's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Burton win
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.1%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.9%
±0.0 pts
Bradford win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.5% → 46.0%
+0.5 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BurtonBradford
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
1st
11
Games Played
10
1.18
Points/Game
2.00
1.45
Goals/Game
1.00
1.64
Conceded/Game
0.50
11.3
Shots/Game
11.9
3.6
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Burton at home (7 matches) vs Bradford away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.71
1.71
Goals/Game
0.57
1.43
Conceded/Game
0.43
29%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Burton
Home form
D
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bradford
Away form
W
L
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Burton Wins
2
Draws
1
Bradford Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Burton2 – 1Bradford
Bradford1 – 2Burton
Burton1 – 1Bradford
Bradford1 – 0Burton
Bradford2 – 0Burton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Burtonvs
Bradford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.50
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.5%→Latest 46.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?