Bradford vs Stevenage Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Valley Parade
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.34
Away Win
4.11
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Bradford
Stevenage
79'
🟨 Daniel Phillips
Antoni Sarcevic ⚽ (P)
79'
Callumm Connolly 🟨
81'
Will Swan ⚽
87'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Bradford (3-4-2-1)
J. McCracken
M. Pennington
A. Baldwin
George Christopher John Pratt
K. Jackson
A. Sarcevic
C. Connolly
I. Touray
A. Phillips
B. Pointon
J. Beesley
Stevenage (4-4-1-1)
T. Setford
L. James-Wildin
T. Vancooten
C. Piergianni
S. Earley
O. Sanderson
D. Phillips
M. Smith
Wanya Marçal
D. Kemp
J. Magennis
Player Ratings ?
Bradford
M. PenningtonD7.5
George Christopher John PrattD7.5
W. SwanF7.4
Stevenage
T. VancootenD7.0
S. EarleyD6.8
C. PiergianniD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bradford edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Stevenage edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bradford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bradford have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Stevenage have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures over that same span. Bradford have found the net in three of their last five home matches and have kept a clean sheet on three occasions during that identical period. Bradford rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Stevenage rate stronger on attack. Stevenage won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Bradford's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bradford win
Latest market chance 48.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.0% → 48.1%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 28.2%
+0.4 pts
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.6%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bradford
Draw
Stevenage
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BradfordStevenage
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
8
1.89
Points/Game
1.50
0.89
Goals/Game
1.50
0.56
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.9
Shots/Game
11.3
3.2
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Bradford at home (6 matches) vs Stevenage away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
50%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bradford
Home form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stevenage
Away form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bradford Wins
3
Draws
1
Stevenage Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Bradford0 – 1Stevenage
Stevenage1 – 1Bradford
Stevenage2 – 3Bradford
Bradford3 – 0Stevenage
Stevenage0 – 1Bradford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bradfordvs
Stevenage
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.10
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.7%→Latest 42.3%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.3%→Latest 47.3%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Bradford's 10 matches and 2 of Stevenage's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?