Blackpool vs Mansfield Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Bloomfield Road
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.73
Draw
3.72
Away Win
2.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Blackpool
Mansfield
Albie Morgan 🟨
14'
17'
⚽ Michael Smith (Jonathan Russell)
40'
• Michael Smith
Dion Charles (Leighton Clarkson) ⚽
42'
Karoy Anderson 🟨
45+1'
52'
🟨 Elliott Hewitt
55'
⚽ Rhys Oates (George Abbott)
64'
⚽ (OG) Ilmari Niskanen
78'
⚽ Tyler Roberts (Rhys Oates)
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
7
7
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Blackpool (4-1-3-2)
B. Peacock-Farrell
J. Williams
O. Casey
Z. Ashworth
I. Niskanen
A. Morgan
J. Bowler
Karoy Anderson
L. Clarkson
D. Charles
D. Taylor
Mansfield (3-1-4-2)
L. Roberts
E. Hewitt
A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney
L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh
G. Abbott
L. Thompson
S. McLaughlin
J. Russell
M. Smith
Player Ratings ?
Blackpool
D. CharlesF7.3
L. ClarksonM6.9
A. MorganM6.5
Mansfield
R. OatesF8.2
T. RobertsF7.8
M. SmithF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mansfield edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackpool have secured two victories from their last five outings at home, while Mansfield have managed just a solitary win in five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches, though they have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Mansfield rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Blackpool won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Mansfield's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Blackpool's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points, while Mansfield's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Blackpool
Blackpool's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Blackpool win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Mansfield remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Blackpool win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.2% → 34.7%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.6%
±0.0 pts
Mansfield win
Latest market chance 38.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.2% → 38.7%
+3.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Blackpool
Draw
Mansfield
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Blackpool
Mansfield
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
11th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.60
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.6
Shots/Game
14.2
4.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Blackpool at home (6 matches) vs Mansfield away (8 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.12
2.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.38
33%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Blackpool
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Mansfield
Away form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Blackpool Wins
1
Draws
1
Mansfield Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-02-172025-2026
Blackpool1 – 0Mansfield
2025-08-192025-2026
Mansfield2 – 0Blackpool
2025-02-152024-2025
Blackpool3 – 3Mansfield
2024-10-052024-2025
Mansfield2 – 0Blackpool
2017-01-022016-2017
Blackpool0 – 1Mansfield
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Blackpool
vs
Mansfield
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 55.7%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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