Barnsley vs Cambridge Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Oakwell Ground
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.50
Draw
3.79
Away Win
2.63
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Barnsley
Cambridge
Reyes Cleary 🟨
38'
Vimal Yoganathan ⚽
41'
Arley Kay 🟨
43'
Connor O'Riordan 🟨
46'
48'
🟨 Raees Bangura-Williams
50'
🟨 Shayne Lavery
52'
⚽ Ben Knight (Shayne Lavery)
Tobi Adeyemo 🟨
76'
79'
🟨 Ben Knight
90+1'
⚽ Shayne Lavery
Jack Shepherd 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
24
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
5
11
Corner Kicks
11
15
Fouls
10
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Barnsley (4-2-3-1)
Rogan Ravenhill
T. Noslin
C. O'Riordan
J. Shepherd
A. Kay
C. McGeehan
Vimal Yoganathan
Royce Brownlie
Patrick Kelly
R. Cleary
T. Adeyemo
Cambridge (3-4-2-1)
J. Eastwood
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
K. Watts
Z. Bradshaw
L. Bennett
D. Ball
O. Moxon
Isaac Heath
B. Knight
P. Mpanzu
G. Yahyai
Player Ratings ?
Barnsley
Vimal YoganathanM6.8
Royce BrownlieNone6.8
Patrick KellyM6.4
Cambridge
S. LaveryF7.6
J. EastwoodG7.4
B. KnightM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cambridge edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cambridge stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Cambridge stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cambridge have managed just one victory from their last five away outings across various campaigns, while Barnsley have suffered three defeats in that same span at home. Barnsley have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Cambridge rate stronger on form and defence, while attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Barnsley's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Cambridge's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Barnsley
Barnsley's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Barnsley win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barnsley win
Latest market chance 38.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.4% → 38.5%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.8%
+0.1 pts
Cambridge win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.9% → 35.7%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barnsley
Draw
Cambridge
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarnsleyCambridge

Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
5th
8
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.78
1.00
Goals/Game
1.56
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.22
16.5
Shots/Game
14.4
4.8
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Barnsley at home (6 matches) vs Cambridge away (8 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.38
17%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Barnsley
Home form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Cambridge
Away form
D
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barnsley Wins
2
Draws
2
Cambridge Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Barnsley1 – 1Cambridge
Cambridge1 – 1Barnsley
Barnsley0 – 2Cambridge
Cambridge0 – 4Barnsley
Barnsley2 – 0Cambridge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barnsleyvs
Cambridge

Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 58.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 61.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Barnsley's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?