AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Plough Lane
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.32
Draw
3.74
Away Win
1.83
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe
Jayden Stockley ⚽
29'
60'
⚽ Fred Onyedinma (Jayden Wareham)
Steve Seddon 🟨
67'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
14
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
AFC Wimbledon (5-4-1)
J. Bursik
J. Tilley
A. Yiadom
R. Johnson
S. Seddon
A. Sasu
H. Cornick
O. Harrison
A. Smith
M. Hippolyte
J. Stockley
Wycombe (4-2-3-1)
C. Hazard
J. Grimmer
C. Taylor
A. Hagelskjær
D. Harvie
J. Scowen
C. Boyd-Munce
F. Onyedinma
Jamie Mullins
C. Woodrow
J. Wareham
Player Ratings ?
AFC Wimbledon
J. StockleyF8.1
J. BursikG6.8
O. HarrisonM6.8
Wycombe
F. OnyedinmaM7.5
J. WarehamF7.2
C. TaylorD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. AFC Wimbledon edge defence, Wycombe edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AFC Wimbledon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wycombe slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wycombe have secured two victories from their last five away outings, while AFC Wimbledon have also recorded two wins in their last five home fixtures. AFC Wimbledon have found the net in just two of their last five matches at home, yet they have kept four clean sheets during that same period. Wycombe rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while AFC Wimbledon hold a slight advantage in defence. Wycombe won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 4 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to AFC Wimbledon's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, AFC Wimbledon's implied win probability has fallen by 6.1 percentage points, while Wycombe's implied win probability has risen by 7.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Wycombe
Wycombe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wycombe win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
AFC Wimbledon win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
29.7% → 23.6%
−6.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.1% → 25.2%
−1.9 pts
Wycombe win
Latest market chance 51.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
43.2% → 51.1%
+7.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Wycombe
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AFC WimbledonWycombe
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
15th
11
Games Played
11
1.09
Points/Game
1.27
0.64
Goals/Game
1.64
1.64
Conceded/Game
2.00
10.9
Shots/Game
13.1
2.7
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
AFC Wimbledon at home (6 matches) vs Wycombe away (6 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.83
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home form
D
W
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wycombe
Away form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
AFC Wimbledon Wins
1
Draws
3
Wycombe Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Wycombe2 – 0AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon2 – 1Wycombe
AFC Wimbledon1 – 1Wycombe
Wycombe2 – 2AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon0 – 0Wycombe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
AFC Wimbledonvs
Wycombe
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 52.8%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 54.9%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?