AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Plough Lane
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.68
Draw
3.33
Away Win
2.64
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. AFC Wimbledon edge head-to-head, Blackpool edge attack, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Blackpool stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AFC Wimbledon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackpool have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw from their last five away outings, whereas AFC Wimbledon look more settled at home having secured two victories and two draws in that same span. At this venue, the hosts have managed to find the net in three of their last five matches while simultaneously keeping a clean sheet on three occasions during that identical period. Blackpool rate stronger on attack, while AFC Wimbledon rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. AFC Wimbledon won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 11 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Blackpool's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
AFC Wimbledon losing run
1
Blackpool points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
AFC Wimbledon
No current absences reported
Blackpool
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
AFC Wimbledon win
Latest market chance 35.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.2% → 35.1%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.5%
+0.4 pts
Blackpool win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.7% → 37.4%
−0.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
13 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Blackpool
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
19th
13
Games Played
12
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.69
Goals/Game
1.42
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.75
10.9
Shots/Game
13.6
2.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
AFC Wimbledon at home (6 matches) vs Blackpool away (6 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.67
0.50
Goals/Game
0.83
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
33%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home form
W
W
D
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Blackpool
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
AFC Wimbledon Wins
3
Draws
2
Blackpool Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-03-112025-2026
AFC Wimbledon4 – 1Blackpool
2025-10-042025-2026
Blackpool0 – 2AFC Wimbledon
2021-03-062020-2021
Blackpool1 – 1AFC Wimbledon
2020-10-272020-2021
AFC Wimbledon1 – 0Blackpool
2020-02-222019-2020
AFC Wimbledon0 – 0Blackpool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
AFC Wimbledon
vs
Blackpool
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.4%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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