Villarreal vs Getafe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de la Cerámica
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.71
Away Win
7.57
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Villarreal
Getafe
32'
🟨 Mario Martín Rielves
62'
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
Santi Comesaña 🟨
67'
Renato Veiga 🟨
76'
Tajon Buchanan (Nicolas Pépé) ⚽
80'
Carlos Romero (Ayoze Pérez) ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
73%
Ball Possession
27%
22
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Villarreal (4-4-2)
P. Gulácsi
S. Mouriño
Logan Costa
Renato Veiga
Carlos Romero
T. Buchanan
C. Macia
P. Gueye
Alberto Moleiro
T. Oluwaseyi
G. Mikautadze
Getafe (4-1-4-1)
David Soria
Dani Carvajal
S. Boselli
D. Dakonam
J. Mojica
N. Gudelj
Andrés García
O. Mangala
Mario Martín
M. Satriano
E. Ünal
Player Ratings ?
Villarreal
Carlos RomeroD7.8
Logan CostaD7.8
T. BuchananM7.7
Getafe
David SoriaG7.3
Iván AzónF6.6
Kiko FemeníaD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Villarreal edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Getafe edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Getafe slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Getafe have endured a difficult away run with five straight defeats, while Villarreal have shown more resilience at home with one win and two draws in their last five outings. Villarreal have found the net in just one of their last five home matches but keep a solid defensive record with two clean sheets in that same span. Getafe hold a slight advantage in form, while Villarreal rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head. Getafe won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Villarreal's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Villarreal's implied win probability has risen by 4.2 percentage points, while Getafe's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Villarreal losing run
55%
Villarreal yellow cards after 75'
0
Getafe points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Villarreal
Villarreal's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Villarreal win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 65.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
61.7% → 65.9%
+4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.9% → 21.1%
−1.8 pts
Getafe win
Latest market chance 13.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
15.4% → 13.0%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Villarreal
Draw
Getafe
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VillarrealGetafe
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
15th
11
Games Played
11
1.09
Points/Game
1.09
1.36
Goals/Game
0.73
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.45
16.8
Shots/Game
10.4
5.9
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Villarreal at home (8 matches) vs Getafe away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.43
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Villarreal
Home form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Getafe
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
0/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Villarreal Wins
2
Draws
2
Getafe Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Getafe2 – 1Villarreal
Villarreal2 – 0Getafe
Getafe1 – 2Villarreal
Villarreal1 – 1Getafe
Villarreal1 – 1Getafe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Villarrealvs
Getafe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.6%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 47.7%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?