Villarreal vs Espanol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de la Cerámica
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.41
Draw
5.25
Away Win
7.19
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Villarreal
Espanol
21'
🟨 Rafel Bauzà
41'
🟨 Roger Hinojo
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez 🟨
53'
Santi Comesaña 🟨
56'
60'
⚽ Leandro Cabrera (Bryan Zaragoza)
75'
🟨 Bryan Zaragoza
Carlos Macià 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
14
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Villarreal (4-4-2)
P. Gulácsi
S. Mouriño
Pau Navarro
Renato Veiga
Sergi Cardona
T. Buchanan
C. Macia
Santi Comesaña
Alberto Moleiro
Gerard Moreno
G. Mikautadze
Espanol (4-2-3-1)
Ángel Fortuño
O. El Hilali
V. Drkušić
L. Cabrera
Roger Hinojo
Rafel Bauzà
Edu Expósito
Alejandro Santiago Vargas
Javier Hernandez
Bryan Zaragoza
Roberto Fernández
Player Ratings ?
Villarreal
Renato VeigaD7.1
S. MouriñoD6.9
G. MikautadzeF6.9
Espanol
Ángel FortuñoG8.3
Bryan ZaragozaM7.2
Gabriel MoscardoM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Villarreal
Villarreal rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Villarreal an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Espanol have recorded just two draws and three defeats in their last five away fixtures, while Villarreal sit on a mixed record of one win, two draws and two losses from their most recent five home outings. Villarreal have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, though they have kept just two clean sheets from that same run. Both sides carry two players unavailable for selection as the match approaches. Villarreal rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Villarreal won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 9 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Espanol's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Villarreal's implied win probability has risen by 6.0 percentage points, while Espanol's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Villarreal.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Villarreal losing run
58%
Villarreal yellow cards after 75'
2
Espanol points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Villarreal
Villarreal's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Villarreal win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 67.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
61.3% → 67.3%
+6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.4% → 18.8%
−2.6 pts
Espanol win
Latest market chance 13.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
17.2% → 13.9%
−3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Villarreal
Draw
Espanol
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VillarrealEspanol
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
18th
10
Games Played
10
1.20
Points/Game
0.80
1.50
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.40
16.8
Shots/Game
11.8
5.9
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Villarreal at home (8 matches) vs Espanol away (9 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.22
1.00
Goals/Game
1.11
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.11
25%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Villarreal
Home form
L
L
W
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Espanol
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Villarreal Wins
5
Draws
0
Espanol Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
Villarreal4 – 1Espanol
Espanol0 – 2Villarreal
Villarreal1 – 0Espanol
Espanol1 – 2Villarreal
Villarreal4 – 2Espanol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Villarrealvs
Espanol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 63.2%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?