Vallecano vs Valencia Head to Head, Prediction
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.97
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.93
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vallecano edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vallecano slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 46.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.5% → 46.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Valencia win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vallecano
Draw
Valencia
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VallecanoValencia
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
19th
11
Games Played
12
1.09
Points/Game
0.75
1.36
Goals/Game
0.67
1.91
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.4
Shots/Game
9.8
4.8
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Vallecano at home (7 matches) vs Valencia away (5 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.40
1.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.20
57%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vallecano
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Valencia
Away form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vallecano Wins
1
Draws
4
Valencia Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.4
Valencia1 – 1Vallecano
Vallecano1 – 1Valencia
Vallecano1 – 1Valencia
Valencia0 – 1Vallecano
Valencia0 – 0Vallecano
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vallecanovs
Valencia
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.0%→Latest 47.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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