Sociedad vs Vallecano Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Anoeta Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.78
Draw
4.14
Away Win
4.32
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Sociedad
Vallecano
34'
🟨 Georgiy Tsitaishvili
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
50'
Benat Turrientes 🟨
61'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Ander Barrenetxea) ⚽
67'
88'
🟨 Gnangoro Bouare
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
17
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sociedad (4-2-3-1)
Álex Remiro
J. Aramburu
Jon Martín
Zubeldia
Aihen Muñoz
Beñat Turrientes
Carlos Soler
T. Kubo
L. Sučić
Barrenetxea
O. Óskarsson
Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
E. Audero
A. Rațiu
F. Lejeune
Mujaid Sadick
Adrià Pedrosa
Unai López
P. Ciss
Jorge de Frutos
Pedro Díaz
G. Tsitaishvili
Sergio Camello
Player Ratings ?
Sociedad
O. ÓskarssonF8.2
BarrenetxeaM7.5
L. SučićM7.2
Vallecano
F. LejeuneD6.8
Adrià PedrosaD6.7
P. CissM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sociedad edge recent form, attack and defence, Vallecano edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vallecano have drawn three and lost two of their last five away games, while Sociedad have secured three wins from one draw and a defeat in their last five home outings. Sociedad have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet from that same sample. Sociedad rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Vallecano rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Sociedad's implied win probability has risen by 4.8 percentage points, while Vallecano's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sociedad unbeaten run
3
Vallecano points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sociedad
Sociedad's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sociedad win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.1% → 54.7%
+3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.0% → 23.3%
−1.7 pts
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 22.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.9% → 22.0%
−1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad
Draw
Vallecano
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SociedadVallecano
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
11
Games Played
10
1.73
Points/Game
1.20
1.82
Goals/Game
1.50
1.82
Conceded/Game
2.00
14.6
Shots/Game
14.4
5.0
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad at home (6 matches) vs Vallecano away (7 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.43
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.14
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vallecano
Away form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad Wins
0
Draws
3
Vallecano Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Vallecano3 – 3Sociedad
Sociedad0 – 1Vallecano
Vallecano2 – 2Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 2Vallecano
Sociedad0 – 0Vallecano
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedadvs
Vallecano
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 60.1%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 59.6%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?