Sociedad vs Levante Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Anoeta Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.71
Away Win
5.21
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Sociedad
Levante
Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⚽
6'
22'
⚽ Nacho Pérez Gómez (Thiago Cruz Fernandez)
Benat Turrientes (Gonçalo Guedes) ⚽
27'
Jon Martin 🟨
64'
75'
🟨 Manu Sánchez
81'
🟨 Yanis Musuayi
87'
🟨 Víctor García
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Sociedad (4-4-2)
Álex Remiro
Héctor Fort
Jon Martín
M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez
L. Sučić
Jon Gorrotxategi
Beñat Turrientes
Gonçalo Guedes
Mikel Oyarzabal
O. Óskarsson
Levante (4-4-2)
M. Ryan
Nacho Pérez
A. Mandi
Ifeanyi Ndukwe
Manu Sánchez
Brugui
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Reque
T. Fernández
Iván Romero
P. Ratkov
Player Ratings ?
Sociedad
Beñat TurrientesM8.2
O. ÓskarssonF7.7
BarrenetxeaF7.2
Levante
Nacho PérezD6.9
T. FernándezM6.8
RequeM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sociedad edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante have drawn four of their last five away fixtures, while Sociedad have secured two wins and suffered two defeats in their last five home matches. At home, Sociedad have scored in three of their last five matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that same period. Sociedad face three confirmed absences and one doubtful player, whereas Levante are dealing with two certain outcasts and two players listed as doubtful. Sociedad rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Sociedad won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 4 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Levante's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Sociedad's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points, while Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
46%
Levante yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sociedad
Sociedad's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sociedad win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 60.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
55.7% → 60.3%
+4.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.3% → 20.9%
−2.4 pts
Levante win
Latest market chance 18.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 18.8%
−2.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
14 snapshots
+4.5+2.250−2.25Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad
Draw
Levante
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sociedad
Levante
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.11
1.89
Goals/Game
1.67
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.89
14.6
Shots/Game
11.6
5.0
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad at home (6 matches) vs Levante away (8 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.62
1.33
Goals/Game
0.50
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.25
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad
Home form
L
W
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Levante
Away form
D
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad Wins
3
Draws
1
Levante Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-04-042025-2026
Sociedad2 – 0Levante
2025-12-202025-2026
Levante1 – 1Sociedad
2022-05-062021-2022
Levante2 – 1Sociedad
2021-08-282021-2022
Sociedad1 – 0Levante
2021-03-072020-2021
Sociedad1 – 0Levante
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedad
vs
Levante
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
40.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 61.3%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 58.5%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Sociedad's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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