Sociedad vs La Coruna Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Anoeta Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
4.13
Away Win
5.57
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Sociedad
La Coruna
Jon Martin (Carlos Soler) ⚽
29'
Arsen Zakharyan ⚽
34'
40'
🟨 David Mella
Gonçalo Guedes (Ander Barrenetxea) ⚽
54'
61'
⚽ Mario Soriano (Riki Rodríguez)
Pablo Marin 🟥
66'
69'
⚽ (P) Yeremay Hernández
71'
🟨 José María Giménez
90'
🟥 Lorenzo Amatucci
Yangel Herrera 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
12
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Goal
7
7
Corner Kicks
10
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Sociedad (4-4-2)
Álex Remiro
Pablo Marín
Jon Martín
M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez
Barrenetxea
Y. Herrera
Carlos Soler
Gonçalo Guedes
L. Sučić
A. Zakharyan
La Coruna (4-4-2)
Leo Román
Ximo Navarro
J. Giménez
B. Ede
G. Quagliata
David Mella
Mario Soriano
Diego Villares
Peke
Luismi Cruz
B. Nsongo
Player Ratings ?
Sociedad
A. ZakharyanF7.7
Jon MartínD7.5
BarrenetxeaM7.1
La Coruna
Mario SorianoM8.2
PekeM7.8
Adama TraoréF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sociedad edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, La Coruna edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
La Coruna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
La Coruna have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Sociedad have managed a solitary victory in their corresponding home sample of five matches. Sociedad have scored in three of their last five home fixtures but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Both squads carry significant injury concerns, with Sociedad having two players unavailable and La Coruna facing three absences ahead of the clash. Sociedad rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while La Coruna hold a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 14-day comparison window, Sociedad's implied win probability has risen by 9.6 percentage points, while La Coruna's implied win probability has fallen by 6.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sociedad
Sociedad's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sociedad win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 59.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.5% → 59.1%
+9.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
26.7% → 23.6%
−3.1 pts
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 17.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.8% → 17.3%
−6.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad
Draw
La Coruna
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SociedadLa Coruna
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.43
1.29
Goals/Game
1.43
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.14
14.6
Shots/Game
11.9
5.0
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad at home (6 matches) vs La Coruna away (8 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.88
1.33
Goals/Game
0.88
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.12
67%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad
Home form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
La Coruna
Away form
D
L
D
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad Wins
3
Draws
1
La Coruna Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Sociedad5 – 0La Coruna
La Coruna2 – 4Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 0La Coruna
La Coruna5 – 1Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 1La Coruna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedadvs
La Coruna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.0%→Latest 54.3%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 52.8%−2.3 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Sociedad's 10 matches and 3 of La Coruna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?