Sevilla vs Osasuna Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.91
Draw
3.49
Away Win
4.45
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Sevilla
Osasuna
Isaac Romero (Youssouf Fofana) ⚽
24'
29'
🟨 Alejandro Catena
Isaac Romero 🟨
55'
68'
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Felix Correia (Youssouf Fofana) ⚽
82'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Sevilla (4-4-2)
O. Vlachodimos
Juan Iglesias
Andrés Castrín
Kike Salas
G. Suazo
C. Ejuke
L. Agoumé
Y. Fofana
Félix Correia
Isaac
L. Stassin
Osasuna (4-3-3)
Aitor Fernández
V. Rosier
Catena
F. Boyomo
Abel Bretones
Moncayola
Lucas Torró
Moi Gómez
Rubén García
A. Budimir
Jonathan Dubasin
Player Ratings ?
Sevilla
Félix CorreiaM8.1
IsaacF7.8
Y. FofanaM7.6
Osasuna
Aitor FernándezG7.6
Moi GómezM6.8
Raul MoroF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sevilla edge recent form, attack and defence, Osasuna edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sevilla slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sevilla slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Osasuna stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Osasuna have struggled in their last five away outings with just a solitary win to show, while Sevilla are coming off the back of two victories from their most recent five home fixtures. At home, Sevilla have found the net in four of their last five matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that same period. Sevilla face two confirmed absences ahead of the clash, whereas Osasuna will be without four players for this La Liga fixture. Sevilla rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while Osasuna rate stronger on head-to-head. Osasuna won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 26 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sevilla's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Sevilla's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Osasuna's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Osasuna losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Sevilla yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Osasuna
Osasuna's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Osasuna win as less likely than it did 8 days ago. Sevilla remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sevilla win
Latest market chance 49.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
48.6% → 49.9%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.8%
+0.3 pts
Osasuna win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.9% → 22.3%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sevilla
Draw
Osasuna
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SevillaOsasuna
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
12th
9
Games Played
9
1.56
Points/Game
1.22
1.56
Goals/Game
1.11
1.78
Conceded/Game
2.00
12.3
Shots/Game
11.2
4.4
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Sevilla at home (8 matches) vs Osasuna away (8 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.38
1.12
Goals/Game
1.00
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.88
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sevilla
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osasuna
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sevilla Wins
2
Draws
1
Osasuna Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Sevilla2 – 0Osasuna
Osasuna2 – 1Sevilla
Sevilla1 – 0Osasuna
Osasuna1 – 0Sevilla
Sevilla1 – 1Osasuna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sevillavs
Osasuna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.5%→Latest 43.5%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 48.1%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?