Sevilla vs Alaves Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
3.54
Away Win
4.37
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Sevilla
Alaves
30'
🟨 Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
Rubén Vargas •
32'
Arouna Sangante 🟨
47'
63'
🟨 Toni Martínez
64'
🟨 Nicolas Valentini
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
O. Vlachodimos
Juan Iglesias
A. Sangante
Kike Salas
G. Suazo
Y. Fofana
L. Agoumé
R. Vargas
Isaac
Félix Correia
L. Stassin
Alaves (3-5-2)
Sivera
N. Tenaglia
V. Koski
N. Valentini
Angel Pérez
Guevara
Antonio Blanco
Pablo Ibáñez
Yusi
Toni Martínez
L. Boyé
Player Ratings ?
Sevilla
G. SuazoD7.4
C. EjukeF6.9
Andrés CastrínD6.8
Alaves
V. KoskiD7.0
SiveraG6.9
L. BoyéF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sevilla edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sevilla slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sevilla have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Alaves remain winless in four of their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have only kept three clean sheets during that same period. Sevilla face two confirmed absences alongside two doubtful players, whereas Alaves have just one confirmed absence with no doubts surrounding their squad. Sevilla rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Sevilla's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points, while Alaves's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
52%
Sevilla yellow cards after 75'
1
Alaves points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sevilla
Sevilla's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sevilla win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sevilla win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
46.8% → 49.7%
+2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 27.9%
−0.6 pts
Alaves win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.7% → 22.4%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sevilla
Draw
Alaves
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SevillaAlaves
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
11th
11
Games Played
11
1.55
Points/Game
1.09
1.55
Goals/Game
1.36
1.73
Conceded/Game
1.55
12.3
Shots/Game
12.4
4.4
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Sevilla at home (8 matches) vs Alaves away (8 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.50
1.12
Goals/Game
0.62
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.12
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sevilla
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alaves
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sevilla Wins
1
Draws
2
Alaves Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Sevilla1 – 1Alaves
Alaves1 – 2Sevilla
Sevilla1 – 1Alaves
Alaves2 – 1Sevilla
Sevilla2 – 3Alaves
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sevillavs
Alaves
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.2%→Latest 43.4%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.4%→Latest 48.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?