Santander vs Sociedad Head to Head | La Liga

Match Prediction

Data favours

Sociedad

Sociedad rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Sociedad a slight edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Sociedad stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Sociedad stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Sociedad stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Sociedad stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Santander win

Latest market chance 30.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

30.4% → 30.4%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.4% → 24.4%

±0.0 pts

Sociedad win

Latest market chance 45.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

45.3% → 45.3%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Santander

Draw

Sociedad

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Santander

Sociedad

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

5th

Games Played

1.17

Points/Game

1.83

1.42

Goals/Game

1.75

2.50

Conceded/Game

1.67

12.9

Shots/Game

14.6

4.8

Shots on Target

5.0

Home vs Away Context

Santander at home (7 matches) vs Sociedad away (6 matches)

2.00

Points/Game

1.50

1.86

Goals/Game

2.17

1.71

Conceded/Game

2.17

57%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Santander

Home form

Won 3 of last 5 at home

1.6

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Sociedad

Away form

Won 3 of last 5 away

2.6

Goals scored
per match

2.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Santander Wins

Draws

Sociedad Wins

Avg Goals

1.4

2012-04-282011-2012

Sociedad3 – 0Santander

2011-12-182011-2012

Santander0 – 0Sociedad

2011-03-202010-2011

Santander2 – 1Sociedad

2010-11-062010-2011

Sociedad1 – 0Santander

2007-06-092006-2007

Sociedad0 – 0Santander

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Santander

Sociedad

Recent Scoring Profile

1.40

Goals scored / game

2.00

2.40

Goals conceded / game

1.50

9/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

7/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

3/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

83.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

65.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

46.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

66.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 65.7%→Latest 65.7%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 66.6%→Latest 66.6%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

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Santander vs Sociedad Head to Head, Prediction