Santander vs Espanol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
El Sardinero
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.72
Away Win
2.85
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Santander
Espanol
Iñigo Vicente 🟨
8'
17'
🟨 Pol Lozano
43'
🟨 José Manuel González Álvarez
62'
⚽ Eduardo Expósito Jaén (Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)
Pablo Ramon Parra 🟨
67'
Jeanuël Belocian (Sergio Canales) ⚽
69'
70'
🟨 Urko Gonzalez
Yassir Zabiri (Alvaro Mantilla) ⚽
84'
89'
🟨 Javi Puado
90'
🟨 Eduardo Expósito Jaén
Jorge Salinas Viadero 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
23
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Santander (4-2-3-1)
Julen Agirrezabala
Álvaro Mantilla
Pablo Ramón
J. Belocian
Jorge Salinas
M. Prati
Iván Martín
Andrés Martín
Sergio Canales
Iñigo Vicente
M. Zabiri
Espanol (4-4-2)
Ángel Fortuño
O. El Hilali
V. Drkušić
L. Cabrera
Q. Hartman
Javier Hernandez
Edu Expósito
Pol Lozano
Bryan Zaragoza
Roberto Fernández
Álex Calatrava
Player Ratings ?
Santander
M. ZabiriF8.1
J. BelocianD7.8
Sergio CanalesM7.5
Espanol
Edu ExpósitoM8.2
Ángel FortuñoG7.2
O. El HilaliD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Santander edge attack, Espanol edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Espanol slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Santander stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Santander boast a solid home record with two victories from their last five outings, while Espanol have struggled away from home with just one win in that same span. The hosts have found the net in every single one of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Santander face just one absence in their squad, whereas Espanol will need to manage two players who are unavailable for selection. Espanol rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Santander rate stronger on attack. Santander won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 10 February 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Espanol's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Santander win
Latest market chance 40.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.0% → 40.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.4%
+0.1 pts
Espanol win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.7% → 33.7%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
13 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Santander
Draw
Espanol
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Santander
Espanol
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
0.89
1.44
Goals/Game
1.22
2.78
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.9
Shots/Game
11.8
4.8
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Santander at home (7 matches) vs Espanol away (9 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.22
1.86
Goals/Game
1.11
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.11
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Santander
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Espanol
Away form
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Santander Wins
2
Draws
0
Espanol Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2024-02-102023-2024
Santander2 – 0Espanol
2023-08-192023-2024
Espanol2 – 0Santander
2012-03-192011-2012
Espanol3 – 1Santander
2011-10-222011-2012
Santander0 – 1Espanol
2011-04-032010-2011
Espanol1 – 2Santander
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Santander
vs
Espanol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.90
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 56.8%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 60.7%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Santander's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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