Real Madrid vs Celta Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.18
Draw
7.81
Away Win
12.56
Match Prediction
Data favours
Real Madrid
Real Madrid rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Real Madrid an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Real Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Real Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Real Madrid slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Real Madrid stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Real Madrid win
Latest market chance 78.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
78.0% → 78.3%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.4% → 14.2%
−0.2 pts
Celta win
Latest market chance 7.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.6% → 7.5%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Real Madrid
Draw
Celta
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Real MadridCelta
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
11th
12
Games Played
12
2.50
Points/Game
1.08
2.58
Goals/Game
0.83
0.83
Conceded/Game
0.83
17.4
Shots/Game
10.9
7.3
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Real Madrid at home (6 matches) vs Celta away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.67
3.00
Goals/Game
0.17
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Real Madrid
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celta
Away form
D
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Real Madrid Wins
4
Draws
0
Celta Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Celta1 – 2Real Madrid
Real Madrid0 – 2Celta
Real Madrid3 – 2Celta
Celta1 – 2Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 – 0Celta
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Real Madridvs
Celta
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.3%→Latest 67.9%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 48.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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