Osasuna vs Malaga Head to Head | La Liga

Match Prediction

Data favours

Osasuna

Osasuna rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Osasuna a slight edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Osasuna stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Osasuna slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Osasuna stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Osasuna stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Osasuna win

Latest market chance 53.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

53.8% → 53.8%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 25.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

25.9% → 25.9%

±0.0 pts

Malaga win

Latest market chance 20.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

20.2% → 20.2%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Osasuna

Draw

Malaga

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Osasuna

Malaga

Season Profile

This season

16th

League Position

20th

Games Played

1.00

Points/Game

0.42

1.00

Goals/Game

0.75

1.92

Conceded/Game

1.92

11.2

Shots/Game

11.2

4.0

Shots on Target

3.6

Home vs Away Context

Osasuna at home (7 matches) vs Malaga away (8 matches)

1.43

Points/Game

0.38

0.86

Goals/Game

0.62

0.71

Conceded/Game

1.75

29%

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Osasuna

Home form

1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Malaga

Away form

Winless in last 5 away

0.8

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Osasuna Wins

Draws

Malaga Wins

Avg Goals

2.4

2019-03-112018-2019

Malaga1 – 2Osasuna

2018-11-032018-2019

Osasuna2 – 1Malaga

2017-01-272016-2017

Osasuna1 – 1Malaga

2016-08-192016-2017

Malaga1 – 1Osasuna

2014-03-102013-2014

Osasuna0 – 2Malaga

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Osasuna

Malaga

Recent Scoring Profile

0.90

Goals scored / game

1.00

2.00

Goals conceded / game

1.80

4/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

5/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

9/10

3/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

72.8%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

50.0%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

29.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

51.7%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 51.7%→Latest 51.7%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Osasuna vs Malaga Head to Head, Prediction