Levante vs Sevilla Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.77
Draw
3.20
Away Win
2.83
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Levante
Sevilla
13'
⚽ Robbie Ure
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 🟨
39'
48'
🟨 Felix Correia
54'
⚽ Felix Correia (Robbie Ure)
Iván Romero (Roger Brugué) ⚽
57'
63'
🟨 Andrés Castrín
66'
🟨 Luis García Plaza
Daniel Requena Sánchez 🟨
76'
84'
🟨 Alfonso González Martínez
90+2'
🟨 Isaac Romero
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla ⚽
90+2'
90+5'
⚽ Isaac Romero (Youssouf Fofana)
90+6'
🟨 Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
90+6'
🟥 Isaac Romero
Ifeanyi Ndukwe ⚽
90+10'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
20
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Levante (4-4-2)
M. Ryan
J. Toljan
Dela
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
Manu Sánchez
Víctor García
Oriol Rey
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Brugui
Iván Romero
Yanis Musuayi
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
O. Vlachodimos
Juan Iglesias
Andrés Castrín
Kike Salas
G. Suazo
G. Kochorashvili
L. Agoumé
Miguel Ángel
Y. Fofana
Félix Correia
R. Ure
Player Ratings ?
Levante
Iván RomeroF8.1
IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD7.2
DelaD6.9
Sevilla
R. UreF8.9
Y. FofanaM7.5
Félix CorreiaM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Levante edge attack and head-to-head, Sevilla edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante have claimed four wins from their last five home outings, whereas Sevilla have recorded three victories and a single draw in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in each of their last five home matches but have managed only two clean sheets during that same period. Levante face three confirmed absences while Sevilla must manage four confirmed out-counts ahead of this La Liga encounter. Sevilla rate stronger on form and defence, while Levante rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Levante won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 23 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sevilla's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Sevilla's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Sevilla yellow cards after 75'
12
Levante points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Levante
Levante's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Levante win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levante win
Latest market chance 35.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.6% → 35.1%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.3% → 29.9%
+0.6 pts
Sevilla win
Latest market chance 35.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
34.2% → 35.1%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levante
Draw
Sevilla
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LevanteSevilla
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
7
0.83
Points/Game
1.86
1.33
Goals/Game
1.43
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.29
11.6
Shots/Game
12.3
3.9
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Levante at home (8 matches) vs Sevilla away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.29
2.38
Goals/Game
1.86
2.25
Conceded/Game
2.14
38%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levante
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sevilla
Away form
L
W
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levante Wins
2
Draws
1
Sevilla Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.8
Levante3 – 3Sevilla
Levante2 – 0Sevilla
Sevilla0 – 3Levante
Levante2 – 3Sevilla
Sevilla5 – 3Levante
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levantevs
Sevilla
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 32 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 43.8%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 51.4%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Levante's 10 matches and 2 of Sevilla's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?