Levante vs Ath Madrid Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.48
Draw
5.06
Away Win
1.52
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Levante
Ath Madrid
Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro 🟨
18'
36'
⚽ Alejandro Grimaldo
62'
⚽ Giuliano Simeone Baldini (Alejandro Baena Rodríguez)
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
20
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
7
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Levante (4-2-3-1)
M. Ryan
J. Toljan
A. Mandi
Ifeanyi Ndukwe
Nacho Pérez
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Reque
Brugui
Iván Romero
T. Fernández
Etta Eyong
Ath Madrid (4-4-2)
J. Oblak
Marcos Llorente
Marc Pubill
D. Hancko
Álex Grimaldo
G. Simeone
Pablo Barrios
M. Hjulmand
Álex Baena
Lee Kang-In
J. Álvarez
Player Ratings ?
Levante
Oriol ReyM7.2
P. RatkovF6.9
Ifeanyi NdukweD6.8
Ath Madrid
J. OblakG8.1
G. SimeoneM7.8
Álex GrimaldoD7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving Ath Madrid a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ath Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ath Madrid slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ath Madrid arrive with an impressive unbeaten run of five away victories, while Levante have managed just two wins and a draw from their last five home outings. Levente have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Both squads face minor availability concerns, with Levante carrying one absence while Ath Madrid will be without two players. Ath Madrid rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 0.0 percentage points, while Ath Madrid's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Ath Madrid a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Levante yellow cards after 75'
15
Ath Madrid points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 11 days ago. Ath Madrid remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levante win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.6% → 17.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.1% → 20.4%
−1.7 pts
Ath Madrid win
Latest market chance 62.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
60.3% → 62.0%
+1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levante
Draw
Ath Madrid
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LevanteAth Madrid
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
2nd
10
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
2.50
1.60
Goals/Game
2.00
1.90
Conceded/Game
0.80
11.6
Shots/Game
16.7
3.9
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Levante at home (8 matches) vs Ath Madrid away (9 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
2.67
2.38
Goals/Game
1.78
2.25
Conceded/Game
0.67
38%
Win Rate
89%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levante
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ath Madrid
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levante Wins
2
Draws
2
Ath Madrid Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Levante0 – 0Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid3 – 1Levante
Ath Madrid0 – 1Levante
Levante2 – 2Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid0 – 2Levante
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levantevs
Ath Madrid
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.90
Goals conceded / game
0.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 62.0%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 58.1%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?