Levante vs Ath Bilbao Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.73
Draw
3.32
Away Win
2.15
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Levante
Ath Bilbao
Roger Brugué (Daniel Requena Sánchez) ⚽
20'
Roger Brugué ⚽
22'
67'
⚽ (P) Alex Berenguer
73'
🟥 Aymeric Laporte
Karl Etta Eyong 🟨
77'
Jeremy Toljan 🟨
80'
90+6'
🟨 Yuri Berchiche
Karl Etta Eyong ⚽
90+8'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
12
Total Shots
21
7
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
9
13
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Levante (4-4-2)
M. Ryan
J. Toljan
A. Mandi
Ifeanyi Ndukwe
Manu Sánchez
Brugui
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Reque
T. Fernández
P. Ratkov
Iván Romero
Ath Bilbao (4-2-3-1)
Unai Simón
Hugo Rincón
Yeray
Aymeric Laporte
Yuri
Ruíz de Galarreta
Mikel Jauregizar
Álex Berenguer
Robert Navarro
J. Louis-Jean
Maroan Sannadi
Player Ratings ?
Levante
BruguiM8.6
Etta EyongF7.2
A. MandiD7.2
Ath Bilbao
Álex BerenguerM7.3
YuriD7.0
Hugo RincónD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Levante edge attack, Ath Bilbao edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante enjoy a strong record at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Ath Bilbao have recorded two victories in their last five away matches. At home, Levante have scored in five of their last five matches and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Levante face three confirmed absences with no doubts, whereas Ath Bilbao have two confirmed out players alongside two others in doubt. Levante rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Ath Bilbao rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Ath Bilbao won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 8 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Levante's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Ath Bilbao's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Levante
Levante's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Levante win as less likely than it did 9 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Ath Bilbao remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levante win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.6% → 27.2%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.7%
+0.4 pts
Ath Bilbao win
Latest market chance 44.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
43.2% → 44.1%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levante
Draw
Ath Bilbao
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LevanteAth Bilbao
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
7
0.88
Points/Game
1.29
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.86
11.6
Shots/Game
14.9
3.9
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Levante at home (8 matches) vs Ath Bilbao away (8 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
0.88
2.38
Goals/Game
0.75
2.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levante
Home form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away form
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levante Wins
1
Draws
1
Ath Bilbao Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Levante3 – 1Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao4 – 2Levante
Levante0 – 2Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao3 – 1Levante
Levante0 – 0Ath Bilbao
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levantevs
Ath Bilbao
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 16 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 48.7%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.8%→Latest 53.3%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Ath Bilbao's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?