La Coruna vs Osasuna Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de Riazor
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.16
Draw
3.27
Away Win
3.76
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
La Coruna
Osasuna
32'
⚽ Ante Budimir (Moi Gómez)
35'
🟨 Moi Gómez
63'
🟨 Alejandro Catena
Mario Soriano (Luismi Cruz) ⚽
64'
81'
🟨 Abel Bretones
84'
🟨 Enrique Barja Alfonso
Bil Nsongo ⚽
87'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
18
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
2
5
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
La Coruna (4-4-2)
Leo Román
Adrià Alti
Miguel Loureiro
J. Giménez
G. Quagliata
David Mella
L. Amatucci
Mario Soriano
Peke
Luismi Cruz
B. Nsongo
Osasuna (4-3-3)
Sergio Herrera
V. Rosier
Catena
F. Boyomo
Abel Bretones
Moncayola
Iker Muñoz
Moi Gómez
Jonathan Dubasin
A. Budimir
Raul Moro
Player Ratings ?
La Coruna
Mario SorianoM8.2
B. NsongoF8.1
Luismi CruzF7.7
Osasuna
A. BudimirF8.1
Moi GómezM7.3
Sergio HerreraG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. La Coruna edge attack and defence, Osasuna edge recent form, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Osasuna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
La Coruna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
La Coruna stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Osasuna arrive at this fixture with a worrying away record of five straight losses in their last five outings, whereas La Coruna have found form more comfortable at home with just one defeat in that same five-match span. The hosts have managed to score in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. La Coruna face four confirmed absences ahead of the match, while Osasuna have one certain miss alongside two players still rated as doubtful. Osasuna hold a slight advantage in form, while La Coruna rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 10-day comparison window, La Coruna's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Osasuna's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Osasuna losing run
52%
La Coruna yellow cards after 75'
0
Osasuna points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards La Coruna
La Coruna's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a La Coruna win as more likely than it did 10 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.1% → 44.5%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.2%
−0.2 pts
Osasuna win
Latest market chance 26.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
29.5% → 26.3%
−3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
La Coruna
Draw
Osasuna
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
La CorunaOsasuna
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
15th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.10
1.30
Goals/Game
1.00
1.30
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.9
Shots/Game
11.2
4.3
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
La Coruna at home (8 matches) vs Osasuna away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.38
1.38
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.88
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
La Coruna
Home form
L
D
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osasuna
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
La Coruna Wins
3
Draws
1
Osasuna Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
La Coruna2 – 1Osasuna
Osasuna2 – 1La Coruna
La Coruna2 – 0Osasuna
Osasuna2 – 2La Coruna
La Coruna2 – 0Osasuna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
La Corunavs
Osasuna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.8%→Latest 43.2%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 49.2%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?