Getafe vs Vallecano Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.07
Draw
2.97
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Getafe
Vallecano
Kiko Femenia 🟨
1'
11'
⚽ Álvaro García (Jorge De Frutos)
Dakonam Ortega Djené 🟨
16'
Dakonam Ortega Djené 🟥
28'
45+1'
🟨 Ivan Balliu
Francho Serrano Gracia 🟨
51'
Martin Satriano (Francho Serrano Gracia) ⚽
56'
69'
🟨 Pathé Ciss
Daniel Carvajal 🟨
79'
Enes Ünal 🟨
84'
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
87'
90+3'
🟨 Sergio Camello
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
12
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
8
12
Fouls
9
6
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Getafe (4-4-2)
David Soria
Daniel Carvajal
D. Dakonam
J. Valou
J. Mojica
Kiko Femenía
N. Gudelj
Mario Martín
M. Satriano
Ramón Terrats
E. Ünal
Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
E. Audero
I. Balliu
F. Lejeune
Mujaid Sadick
Adrià Pedrosa
Unai López
P. Ciss
Isi Palazón
Sergio Camello
Álvaro García
Jorge de Frutos
Player Ratings ?
Getafe
M. SatrianoM8.2
Mario MartínM7.0
Borja MayoralF6.8
Vallecano
Álvaro GarcíaM7.9
Óscar ValentínM7.6
E. AuderoG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Getafe edge defence, Vallecano edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Getafe arrive at home with an encouraging record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Vallecano have found away form more difficult with just one win and a single draw in that same span. At home, Getafe have scored in five of their last five matches but have also managed three clean sheets within that identical sample. Getafe face two confirmed absences and five players under doubt, whereas Vallecano have three confirmed absences but no doubtful selections for their side. Vallecano rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Getafe rate stronger on defence. Vallecano won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 3 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Getafe's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, Getafe's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Vallecano's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Getafe
Getafe's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Getafe win as less likely than it did 10 days ago. Vallecano remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Getafe win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.1% → 32.0%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 31.8%
+1.1 pts
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 36.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
35.2% → 36.2%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Getafe
Draw
Vallecano
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GetafeVallecano
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
14th
8
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
1.14
0.50
Goals/Game
1.57
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.29
10.4
Shots/Game
14.4
2.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Getafe at home (7 matches) vs Vallecano away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
0.43
1.29
Goals/Game
1.00
0.71
Conceded/Game
2.14
43%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Getafe
Home form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vallecano
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Getafe Wins
0
Draws
3
Vallecano Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
Getafe1 – 1Vallecano
Getafe0 – 2Vallecano
Vallecano1 – 1Getafe
Vallecano1 – 0Getafe
Getafe0 – 0Vallecano
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Getafevs
Vallecano
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 38.0%→Latest 36.6%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 45.1%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Vallecano's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?