Elche vs Valencia Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.45
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Elche
Valencia
Germán Valera 🟨
36'
Víctor Chust 🟨
42'
Facundo Buonanotte 🟨
62'
69'
⚽ Umar Sadiq (Arnaut Danjuma)
73'
🟨 Javi Guerra
90+1'
🟨 Stole Dimitrievski
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
16
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
6
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Elche (5-3-2)
M. Dituro
Buba Sangaré
F. Redondo
Víctor Chust
R. Revivo
Germán Valera
Gonzalo Villar
J. Morcillo
T. Lemar
L. Cepeda
Fer Niño
Valencia (4-4-2)
S. Dimitrievski
Arnau Martínez
César Tárrega
Pepelu
José Gayà
Pablo Maffeo
Aaron Mayol
G. Rodríguez
Luis Rioja
Javi Guerra
A. Danjuma
Player Ratings ?
Elche
Gonzalo VillarM7.1
R. RevivoD7.0
Víctor ChustD6.9
Valencia
U. SadiqF7.4
César TárregaD7.1
PepeluD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Elche edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elche stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Elche stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Elche slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Valencia have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Elche have managed just one win and a single draw in their corresponding home sample. Elche have scored in three of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Elche face one confirmed absence, whereas Valencia carry three confirmed absences alongside one doubtful selection ahead of this La Liga fixture. Elche rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Elche won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Valencia's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Elche's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Valencia's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Elche
Elche's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Elche win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Elche win
Latest market chance 40.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 40.3%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.1%
±0.0 pts
Valencia win
Latest market chance 31.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
33.3% → 31.6%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Elche
Draw
Valencia
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ElcheValencia
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
19th
10
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
0.60
1.40
Goals/Game
0.70
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.70
12.0
Shots/Game
9.8
4.2
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Elche at home (6 matches) vs Valencia away (5 matches)
0.17
Points/Game
1.40
0.67
Goals/Game
1.00
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.20
0%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Elche
Home form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Valencia
Away form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Elche Wins
1
Draws
2
Valencia Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Elche1 – 0Valencia
Valencia1 – 1Elche
Elche0 – 2Valencia
Valencia2 – 2Elche
Elche0 – 1Valencia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Elchevs
Valencia
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.0%→Latest 49.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 54.3%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?