Celta vs Betis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Municipal de Balaídos
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.21
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.26
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Celta
Betis
Ilaix Moriba 🟨
30'
43'
🟨 Diego Llorente
Sergio Carreira Vilarino 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Celta (3-4-3)
I. Radu
Javi Rodríguez
Yoel Lago
Marcos Alonso
Javi Rueda
Aleix Febas
I. Moriba
Javi Galán
Hugo González
Pablo Durán
Hugo Álvarez
Betis (4-2-3-1)
Álvaro Vallés
Ángel Ortiz
Diego Llorente
Natan
V. Gómez
Marc Roca
Dani Ceballos
Antony
Isco
A. Ezzalzouli
N. Deossa
Player Ratings ?
Celta
I. RaduG7.3
Javi GalánM7.2
Hugo GonzálezF7.2
Betis
Álvaro VallésG7.7
G. Lo CelsoM7.4
Dani CeballosM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Celta edge defence and head-to-head, Betis edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celta stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celta stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Betis have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Celta share that same record of two victories and one draw in their most recent five home matches. Celta have found the net in four of their last five home games but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same span. Five players are out for Celta, whereas three are unavailable for Betis ahead of this La Liga fixture. Betis rate stronger on form and attack, while Celta rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Celta's implied win probability has fallen by 5.6 percentage points, while Betis's implied win probability has risen by 6.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Betis
Betis's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Betis win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celta win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.9% → 30.3%
−5.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 27.6%
−0.6 pts
Betis win
Latest market chance 42.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.9% → 42.1%
+6.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
14 snapshots
+6+30−3Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celta
Draw
Betis
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Celta
Betis
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
2.11
1.11
Goals/Game
1.78
0.78
Conceded/Game
1.56
10.9
Shots/Game
17.1
3.4
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Celta at home (7 matches) vs Betis away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.83
1.29
Goals/Game
1.33
0.86
Conceded/Game
1.17
29%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celta
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Betis
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celta Wins
1
Draws
3
Betis Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-03-152025-2026
Betis1 – 1Celta
2025-08-272025-2026
Celta1 – 1Betis
2025-02-082024-2025
Celta3 – 2Betis
2024-11-102024-2025
Betis2 – 2Celta
2024-04-122023-2024
Betis2 – 1Celta
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celta
vs
Betis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 54.6%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 58.1%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Celta's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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