Betis vs Malaga Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de la Cartuja
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.32
Draw
5.91
Away Win
8.80
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Betis
Malaga
20'
🟨 David Larrubia
38'
🟨 Rafael Garrido Hierro
Marc Bartra (Isco) ⚽
38'
Pablo Fornals ⚽
45+2'
68'
⚽ Adrian Nino
Nelson Deossa 🟨
90+1'
Aitor Ruibal 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
24
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
5
10
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Betis (4-2-3-1)
Álvaro Vallés
Héctor Bellerín
Marc Bartra
Natan
Fran García
Pablo Fornals
Marc Roca
Rodrigo Riquelme
Isco
A. Ezzalzouli
T. Parrott
Malaga (4-1-4-1)
Alfonso Herrero
Puga
Fernando Calero
Einar Galilea
Rafita
Ramón Enríquez
David Larrubia
Carlos Dotor
Dani Lorenzo
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh
Adrián Niño Heredia
Player Ratings ?
Betis
Pablo FornalsM8.2
Marc BartraD7.9
IscoM7.7
Malaga
Adrián Niño HerediaF7.9
Carlos DotorM6.9
J. FernandezF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Betis
Betis rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Betis a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Betis slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Betis have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Malaga remain winless in their last five away fixtures with just three draws and two defeats. The hosts have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept only two clean sheets during that same period. While Betis face three unavailable players, Malaga are dealing with a larger squad absence list involving five players and two others listed as doubtful. Betis rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 12-day comparison window, Betis's implied win probability has risen by 5.2 percentage points, while Malaga's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Betis a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Malaga points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Betis
Betis's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Betis win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Betis win
Latest market chance 72.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
67.4% → 72.6%
+5.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.8% → 16.8%
−2.0 pts
Malaga win
Latest market chance 10.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
13.8% → 10.6%
−3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Betis
Draw
Malaga
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BetisMalaga
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
20th
10
Games Played
10
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.60
Goals/Game
0.70
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.90
17.1
Shots/Game
11.2
6.2
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Betis at home (8 matches) vs Malaga away (8 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.38
2.00
Goals/Game
0.62
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Betis
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Malaga
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Betis Wins
4
Draws
0
Malaga Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Betis2 – 1Malaga
Malaga0 – 2Betis
Malaga1 – 2Betis
Betis1 – 0Malaga
Betis0 – 1Malaga
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Betisvs
Malaga
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.7%→Latest 63.4%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 52.0%−2.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?