Barcelona vs Villarreal Head to Head, Prediction
Camp Nou
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.24
Draw
7.56
Away Win
8.40
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barcelona
Barcelona rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Barcelona a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barcelona win
Latest market chance 75.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
75.8% → 75.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 13.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.6% → 13.6%
±0.0 pts
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 10.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.6% → 10.5%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barcelona
Draw
Villarreal
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarcelonaVillarreal
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
8th
12
Games Played
12
2.75
Points/Game
1.25
4.00
Goals/Game
1.42
1.08
Conceded/Game
1.25
20.1
Shots/Game
16.8
7.8
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Barcelona at home (8 matches) vs Villarreal away (8 matches)
2.62
Points/Game
1.38
4.12
Goals/Game
1.38
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
88%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barcelona
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Villarreal
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barcelona Wins
3
Draws
0
Villarreal Wins
2
Avg Goals
5.2
Barcelona4 – 1Villarreal
Villarreal0 – 2Barcelona
Barcelona2 – 3Villarreal
Villarreal1 – 5Barcelona
Barcelona3 – 5Villarreal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barcelonavs
Villarreal
Recent Scoring Profile
4.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.70
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 79.0%→Latest 77.9%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.7%→Latest 62.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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