Barcelona vs Alaves Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Spotify Camp Nou
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.11
Draw
11.25
Away Win
20.05
Match Report
Full Time
6 – 1
Match Events ?
Barcelona
Alaves
Raphael Dias Belloli (Fermín López) ⚽
8'
Fermín López (Lamine Yamal) ⚽
23'
27'
🟨 Carlos Protesoni
Pedri 🟨
40'
Raphael Dias Belloli (Fermín López) ⚽
41'
Lamine Yamal (João Cancelo) ⚽
45+1'
45+3'
🟨 Angel Pérez Hidalgo
João Cancelo 🟨
57'
60'
🟨 Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
Lamine Yamal (Gabriel Jesus) ⚽
64'
Anthony Gordon (Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante) ⚽
81'
84'
⚽ Mariano Díaz
Match Statistics ?
77%
Ball Possession
23%
13
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Barcelona (4-3-3)
Joan García
B. Farinas
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
F. de Jong
João Cancelo
Fermín
Rodri
Pedri
Lamine Yamal
Raphinha
K. Adeyemi
Alaves (4-5-1)
Sivera
Jonny
N. Tenaglia
V. Koski
Yusi
Angel Pérez
C. Benavídez
Guevara
Denis Suárez
A. Rebbach
L. Boyé
Player Ratings ?
Barcelona
FermínM9.5
Lamine YamalF9.2
RaphinhaF8.7
Alaves
M. DíazF7.1
Hugo NovoaF6.5
GuevaraM6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barcelona
Barcelona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Barcelona an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alaves arrive with a mixed away record of just one win from their last five outings, while Barcelona boast four victories in their most recent five home matches. The Blaugrana have scored in each of their last five home games but have kept two clean sheets within that same sample. Barcelona face significant selection concerns with four players out and two in doubt, whereas Alaves have only one player unavailable and no doubts. Barcelona rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Alaves won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 13 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Barcelona's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Barcelona's implied win probability has risen by 4.4 percentage points, while Alaves's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Barcelona.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
9
Barcelona unbeaten run
12
Barcelona points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barcelona
Barcelona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barcelona win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barcelona win
Latest market chance 86.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
82.1% → 86.5%
+4.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 8.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
12.7% → 8.9%
−3.8 pts
Alaves win
Latest market chance 4.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
5.2% → 4.6%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barcelona
Draw
Alaves
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarcelonaAlaves
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
2.70
Points/Game
1.20
4.00
Goals/Game
1.40
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.10
20.1
Shots/Game
12.4
7.8
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Barcelona at home (8 matches) vs Alaves away (8 matches)
2.62
Points/Game
0.50
4.12
Goals/Game
0.62
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.12
88%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barcelona
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alaves
Away form
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barcelona Wins
4
Draws
0
Alaves Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Alaves1 – 0Barcelona
Barcelona3 – 1Alaves
Barcelona1 – 0Alaves
Alaves0 – 3Barcelona
Alaves1 – 3Barcelona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barcelonavs
Alaves
Recent Scoring Profile
4.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.0%→Latest 76.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 49.7%−4.5 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?