Ath Bilbao vs Sociedad Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
San Mamés Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.60
Away Win
3.45
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Iñaki Williams (Nico Williams) ⚽
14'
30'
⚽ Luka Sučić
Alex Berenguer ⚽ (P)
45+2'
Iñaki Williams 🟨
45+4'
55'
🟨 Mikel Oyarzabal
64'
🟨 Mamadou Sarr
65'
🟨 Pellegrino Matarazzo
74'
🟨 Jon Aramburu
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras 🟨
84'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
8
11
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Ath Bilbao (4-4-2)
Unai Simón
Hugo Rincón
Dani Vivian
Aymeric Laporte
Yuri
Álex Berenguer
Peio Canales
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Nico Williams
Maroan Sannadi
I. Williams
Sociedad (4-4-2)
Álex Remiro
J. Aramburu
Jon Martín
M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez
Gonçalo Guedes
Jon Gorrotxategi
Carlos Soler
Barrenetxea
L. Sučić
Mikel Oyarzabal
Player Ratings ?
Ath Bilbao
I. WilliamsF7.4
Robert NavarroM7.2
Nico WilliamsM7.0
Sociedad
L. SučićF7.5
Carlos SolerM7.2
Mikel OyarzabalF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ath Bilbao edge defence, Sociedad edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sociedad have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Ath Bilbao have recorded two wins and two draws in their corresponding home sample. Ath Bilbao have scored in four of their last five home matches, yet they have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Both squads carry availability concerns, with each side having three players unavailable for selection ahead of the clash. Sociedad rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Ath Bilbao rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Ath Bilbao's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Sociedad's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Ath Bilbao win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ath Bilbao win
Latest market chance 45.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
47.8% → 45.4%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.5%
+0.1 pts
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 28.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.8% → 28.2%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ath Bilbao
Draw
Sociedad
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ath BilbaoSociedad
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
10
1.33
Points/Game
1.90
1.33
Goals/Game
1.90
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.80
14.9
Shots/Game
14.6
4.1
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Ath Bilbao at home (6 matches) vs Sociedad away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.50
1.83
Goals/Game
2.17
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.17
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ath Bilbao
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ath Bilbao Wins
2
Draws
2
Sociedad Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Ath Bilbao1 – 1Sociedad
Sociedad3 – 2Ath Bilbao
Sociedad0 – 0Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao1 – 0Sociedad
Ath Bilbao2 – 1Sociedad
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ath Bilbaovs
Sociedad
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 55.6%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.8%→Latest 59.1%+4.3 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?