Ath Bilbao vs Getafe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
San Mamés Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.15
Away Win
6.13
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Ath Bilbao
Getafe
Alex Berenguer ⚽
17'
Iñaki Williams (Alex Berenguer) ⚽
35'
39'
🟨 Ramón Terrats
43'
🟨 Daniel Carvajal
63'
🟨 Johan Mojica
Aitor Paredes (Alex Berenguer) ⚽
70'
Beñat Gerenabarrena 🟨
72'
86'
🟥 Mario Martín Rielves
Yuri Berchiche (Alex Berenguer) ⚽
88'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
11
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
1
2
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Ath Bilbao (4-2-3-1)
Unai Simón
Hugo Rincón
Dani Vivian
Aitor Paredes
Yuri
Ruíz de Galarreta
Peio Canales
I. Williams
Álex Berenguer
Nico Williams
Maroan Sannadi
Getafe (5-4-1)
David Soria
Kiko Femenía
Daniel Carvajal
N. Gudelj
J. Valou
J. Mojica
Ramón Terrats
Francho Serrano
Mario Martín
M. Satriano
Iván Azón
Player Ratings ?
Ath Bilbao
Álex BerenguerM9.8
Aitor ParedesD8.7
YuriD8.5
Getafe
E. ÜnalF6.4
N. GudeljD6.4
Borja MayoralF6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ath Bilbao edge attack and defence, Getafe edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Getafe slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ath Bilbao have shown resilience at home with just one defeat in their last five outings, while Getafe arrive with a worrying winless record away from home over the same span. The Basque club have scored in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that period, highlighting an inconsistent defensive output alongside their attacking frequency. Both squads carry significant fixture congestion with three players unavailable for the hosts and four missing from Getafe's matchday squad ahead of this La Liga clash. Getafe rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Ath Bilbao rate stronger on attack and defence. Getafe won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 5 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Ath Bilbao's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Ath Bilbao's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Getafe's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ath Bilbao win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ath Bilbao win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
59.7% → 61.8%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.7% → 23.7%
−1.0 pts
Getafe win
Latest market chance 14.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
15.6% → 14.5%
−1.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
14 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ath Bilbao
Draw
Getafe
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ath Bilbao
Getafe
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
9
1.13
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.56
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.22
14.9
Shots/Game
10.4
4.1
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Ath Bilbao at home (6 matches) vs Getafe away (7 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.00
1.83
Goals/Game
0.00
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.43
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ath Bilbao
Home form
D
L
W
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Getafe
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.0
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
0/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ath Bilbao Wins
2
Draws
1
Getafe Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-04-052025-2026
Getafe2 – 0Ath Bilbao
2025-10-252025-2026
Ath Bilbao0 – 1Getafe
2025-05-152024-2025
Getafe0 – 2Ath Bilbao
2024-08-152024-2025
Ath Bilbao1 – 1Getafe
2024-05-032023-2024
Getafe0 – 2Ath Bilbao
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ath Bilbao
vs
Getafe
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
67.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
43.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
22.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
41.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.8%→Latest 43.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.3%→Latest 41.3%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 13 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…