Ath Bilbao vs Espanol Head to Head, Prediction

Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.44
Away Win
6.60
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ath Bilbao edge recent form, attack and defence, Espanol edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ath Bilbao win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ath Bilbao win
Latest market chance 63.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
58.8% → 63.9%
+5.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.2% → 22.0%
−2.2 pts
Espanol win
Latest market chance 14.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
17.0% → 14.1%
−2.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
8 snapshots
+5.5+2.750−2.75Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 11Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ath Bilbao
Draw
Espanol
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
13th
11
Games Played
12
1.45
Points/Game
1.00
1.36
Goals/Game
1.08
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.17
14.9
Shots/Game
11.8
4.1
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Ath Bilbao at home (6 matches) vs Espanol away (9 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.22
1.83
Goals/Game
1.11
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.11
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ath Bilbao
Home form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Espanol
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ath Bilbao Wins
2
Draws
1
Espanol Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-05-132025-2026
Espanol2 – 0Ath Bilbao
2025-12-222025-2026
Ath Bilbao1 – 2Espanol
2025-02-162024-2025
Espanol1 – 1Ath Bilbao
2024-10-192024-2025
Ath Bilbao4 – 1Espanol
2023-04-082022-2023
Espanol1 – 2Ath Bilbao
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ath Bilbao
vs
Espanol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 51.9%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 11Nov 13
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 14 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 48.0%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 11Nov 13
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 14 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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