Alaves vs La Coruna Head to Head, Prediction

Estadio Mendizorrotza
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.44
Away Win
3.54
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alaves edge head-to-head, La Coruna edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
La Coruna stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
La Coruna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alaves stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alaves win
Latest market chance 45.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.8% → 45.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.2%
±0.0 pts
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.0%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 8Nov 9Nov 10Nov 12Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Alaves
Draw
La Coruna
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Alaves
La Coruna
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
9th
12
Games Played
12
1.08
Points/Game
1.25
1.25
Goals/Game
1.25
1.42
Conceded/Game
1.17
12.4
Shots/Game
11.9
4.3
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Alaves at home (8 matches) vs La Coruna away (8 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
0.88
1.62
Goals/Game
0.88
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.12
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alaves
Home form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
La Coruna
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alaves Wins
2
Draws
2
La Coruna Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.0
2018-02-172017-2018
Alaves1 – 0La Coruna
2017-09-202017-2018
La Coruna1 – 0Alaves
2017-02-182016-2017
La Coruna0 – 1Alaves
2016-09-192016-2017
Alaves0 – 0La Coruna
2014-05-112013-2014
Alaves1 – 1La Coruna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alaves
vs
La Coruna
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
69.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
44.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
24.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
49.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.4%→Latest 44.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 49.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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