Valladolid vs Albacete Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio José Zorrilla
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.27
Away Win
4.06
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 0
Match Events ?
Valladolid
Albacete
J. Ponceau (T. Ojeda) ⚽
14'
D. Torres (V. Fernandez) ⚽
22'
31'
🟨 A. Pacheco
A. Arnuncio (J. Ponceau) ⚽
31'
J. Latasa (I. Garriel) ⚽
37'
40'
🟨 A. Albarracin
43'
🟨 J. Corpas
A. Arnuncio (V. Fernandez) ⚽
54'
63'
🟨 S. Ortuno
I. Alejo 🟨
77'
K. de Rooij 🟨
83'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
19
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Valladolid
Álvaro Aceves
Iván Alejo
Pablo Tomeo
David Torres
Iván Garriel
S. Jurić
T. Ojeda
Víctor Fernández
J. Ponceau
Juanmi Latasa
Adrian Arnuncio
Albacete
Diego Mariño
Fran Gámez
Vallejo
Lluís López
Carlos Neva
José Corpas
San Bartolomé
Antonio Pacheco
Víctor Valverde
Róber
Mario Soberón
Player Ratings ?
Valladolid
J. PonceauM9.0
Adrian ArnuncioF8.9
Víctor FernándezM8.6
Albacete
Víctor ValverdeM6.5
Mario SoberónF6.4
Alex RubioF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Valladolid edge recent form, attack and defence, Albacete edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Valladolid stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Valladolid slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Valladolid slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Albacete have struggled away from home recently, recording just a single draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Valladolid look far more composed at home with three wins from two losses across their recent fixtures. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that same sample. Valladolid rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while Albacete rate stronger on head-to-head. Albacete won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 24 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Valladolid's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Valladolid's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Albacete's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Albacete losing run
1
Albacete points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Valladolid
Valladolid's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Valladolid win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Valladolid win
Latest market chance 46.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
48.0% → 46.9%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.3%
+0.4 pts
Albacete win
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.8%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Valladolid
Draw
Albacete
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ValladolidAlbacete
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
22nd
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
0.13
1.00
Goals/Game
0.62
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.88
13.7
Shots/Game
12.2
5.5
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Valladolid at home (8 matches) vs Albacete away (11 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.64
3.00
Goals/Game
0.91
1.62
Conceded/Game
2.27
75%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Valladolid
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Albacete
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Valladolid Wins
1
Draws
1
Albacete Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Valladolid5 – 0Albacete
Valladolid0 – 1Albacete
Albacete2 – 0Valladolid
Valladolid0 – 0Albacete
Albacete2 – 0Valladolid
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Valladolidvs
Albacete
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 54.4%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Valladolid's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?