Tenerife vs Girona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.11
Draw
3.10
Away Win
2.57
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Tenerife
Girona
4'
⚽ Yaser Asprilla
David Rodríguez Ramos 🟨
21'
23'
🟨 Izan González
Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa 🟨
24'
Enric Gallego (Nacho Gil) ⚽
26'
53'
🟨 Vladyslav Vanat
55'
🟨 Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz
Enric Gallego 🟨
88'
89'
🟨 Donny van de Beek
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
3
20
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Tenerife (4-4-2)
Dani Martín
César Álvarez
A. Landázuri
José León
David Rodríguez
Daniel Fernández
Fabricio
M. Pittón
Nacho Gil
Enric Gallego
C. Gomis
Girona (4-4-2)
P. Gazzaniga
Javier Boñar
Holmes Zamorano
Alejandro Francés
Álex Moreno
Y. Asprilla
Fran Beltrán
I. Gonzalez
Carles Pérez
Abel Ruiz
V. Vanat
Player Ratings ?
Tenerife
Enric GallegoF7.8
Nacho GilM7.7
José LeónD7.2
Girona
Y. AsprillaM7.6
Alejandro FrancésD7.0
Fran BeltránM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tenerife edge head-to-head, Girona edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Girona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Girona have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Tenerife have secured two victories alongside two draws in their last five home matches. Tenerife have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have also kept clean sheets in two of those same outings. Girona rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Tenerife rate stronger on head-to-head. Tenerife won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 May 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Girona's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Girona
Girona's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Girona win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tenerife win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
32.8% → 33.7%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.2% → 30.0%
+0.8 pts
Girona win
Latest market chance 36.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.0% → 36.3%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tenerife
Draw
Girona
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TenerifeGirona
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
1.75
1.25
Goals/Game
1.75
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.0
Shots/Game
14.5
2.9
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Tenerife at home (9 matches) vs Girona away (7 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.14
1.22
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
22%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tenerife
Home form
L
W
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Girona
Away form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tenerife Wins
3
Draws
1
Girona Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Tenerife1 – 1Girona
Girona0 – 1Tenerife
Tenerife2 – 1Girona
Girona1 – 0Tenerife
Tenerife2 – 0Girona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tenerifevs
Girona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 32 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 44.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 51.7%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?