Sociedad B vs Sp Gijon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.57
Draw
3.07
Away Win
3.02
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sp Gijon edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sp Gijon have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Sociedad B have managed just two victories in their corresponding home outings over the same period. Sociedad B have scored in all five of their most recent home matches but have only kept two clean sheets during that identical run. Sp Gijon rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Sp Gijon won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 6 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Sociedad B's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Sociedad B's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Sp Gijon's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Sociedad B losing run
4/4
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sp Gijon win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Sociedad B remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad B win
Latest market chance 38.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.3% → 38.4%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.8%
+0.5 pts
Sp Gijon win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.4% → 32.7%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad B
Draw
Sp Gijon
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sociedad BSp Gijon
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
7th
13
Games Played
13
0.92
Points/Game
1.69
1.15
Goals/Game
1.08
1.69
Conceded/Game
1.15
12.8
Shots/Game
12.3
3.9
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad B at home (8 matches) vs Sp Gijon away (6 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
2.00
1.12
Goals/Game
1.17
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.17
25%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad B
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sp Gijon
Away form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad B Wins
2
Draws
0
Sp Gijon Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.5
Sp Gijon1 – 0Sociedad B
Sociedad B0 – 1Sp Gijon
Sociedad B2 – 1Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon0 – 1Sociedad B
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedad Bvs
Sp Gijon
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 48.1%−3.5 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 54.1%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?