Sociedad B vs Almeria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.60
Draw
3.69
Away Win
2.04
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 4
Match Events ?
Sociedad B
Almeria
23'
⚽ Brian Cipenga (Javier Muñoz Jiménez)
Dani Diaz 🟨
34'
37'
🟨 Jorge Pulido
38'
⚽ Miguel De La Fuente
Javier Soroeta 🟨
49'
54'
⚽ (P) Sergio Arribas Calvo
Lander Astiazarán (Dani Diaz) ⚽
58'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena ⚽
90+5'
90+6'
⚽ (OG) Inaki Ruperez
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
21
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Goal
4
10
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Sociedad B (4-3-3)
Aitor Fraga
Rupérez
I. Calderon
K. Kita
Jon Balda
Gorka Gorosabel
Tomás Carbonell
Ibai Aguirre
Dani Díaz
Javier Soroeta
Lander Astiazarán
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Andrés Fernández
Marcos Luna
Jorge Pulido
F. Bonini
Leonardo Lelo
S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz
D. Chirino
Sergio Arribas
B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente
Player Ratings ?
Sociedad B
Lander AstiazaránF7.8
Arkaitz MariezkurrenaF7.6
Dani DíazF7.1
Almeria
Andrés FernándezG7.7
Miguel de la FuenteF7.6
B. CipengaM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Almeria
Almeria rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Almeria a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Almeria have secured two victories and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Sociedad B remain winless at home with just two draws in that same span. At the club's home venue, Sociedad B have found the net in three of their last five outings but have conceded in every single one of those matches, failing to keep a clean sheet during this recent run. Almeria rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Almeria won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 29 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Sociedad B's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Almeria a strong edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Almeria
Almeria's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Almeria win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad B win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.3% → 26.4%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.1%
−0.1 pts
Almeria win
Latest market chance 47.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
45.5% → 47.5%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad B
Draw
Almeria
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sociedad BAlmeria
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
2.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.78
1.89
Conceded/Game
0.56
12.8
Shots/Game
12.7
3.9
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad B at home (8 matches) vs Almeria away (9 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.89
1.12
Goals/Game
1.56
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.89
25%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad B
Home form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Almeria
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad B Wins
0
Draws
1
Almeria Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.0
Almeria5 – 1Sociedad B
Sociedad B2 – 2Almeria
Sociedad B0 – 2Almeria
Almeria3 – 1Sociedad B
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedad Bvs
Almeria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded / game
0.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 55.4%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 58.9%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?