Oviedo vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.71
Draw
3.99
Away Win
5.02
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Oviedo
Las Palmas
21'
⚽ Manu Fuster (Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi)
26'
⚽ (P) Jesé Rodríguez
54'
⚽ Taisei Miyashiro (Enzo Loiodice)
Carlos Dominguez (Jacobo González) ⚽
62'
64'
🟨 Taisei Miyashiro
76'
🟨 Juanma Herzog
Mikel Goti Lopez ⚽
80'
David Costas 🟨
90+4'
Enzo Pérez Miranda 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
22
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Oviedo (4-4-2)
Aarón Escandell
Nacho Vidal
David Costas
Carlos Domínguez
S. Rodriguez
Pablo Sáenz
Aritz Aldasoro
Y. Didi
Enzo Perez
V. Mingo
Mikel Goti
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
Juan Herzog
A. Rodriguez
Iván Jaime
Kirian Rodríguez
E. Loiodice
T. Miyashiro
Jesé
Manu Fuster
Player Ratings ?
Oviedo
Mikel GotiF7.9
Carlos DomínguezD7.2
I. ChairaF6.8
Las Palmas
Manu FusterF8.2
JeséF7.7
T. MiyashiroM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Oviedo
Oviedo rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Oviedo a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oviedo have secured three victories and one draw from their last five home outings, while Las Palmas have managed just two wins in that same span away from home. At home, Oviedo have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Oviedo rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Oviedo won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 April 2023, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Las Palmas's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Oviedo's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points, while Las Palmas's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Oviedo a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Oviedo
Oviedo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oviedo win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 56.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
54.4% → 56.1%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.4%
−0.5 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.8% → 19.6%
−1.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 2
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oviedo
Draw
Las Palmas
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Oviedo
Las Palmas
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
14th
11
Games Played
11
1.64
Points/Game
1.27
1.36
Goals/Game
1.27
1.09
Conceded/Game
1.73
15.6
Shots/Game
9.9
5.2
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Oviedo at home (8 matches) vs Las Palmas away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.71
1.50
Goals/Game
2.00
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.14
38%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oviedo
Home form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Las Palmas
Away form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oviedo Wins
1
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-11-012026-2027
Oviedo2 – 3Las Palmas
2023-04-092022-2023
Las Palmas0 – 1Oviedo
2022-12-062022-2023
Oviedo0 – 0Las Palmas
2022-05-212021-2022
Las Palmas2 – 1Oviedo
2021-11-062021-2022
Oviedo1 – 1Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oviedo
vs
Las Palmas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.80
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
50.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 50.0%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 2
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
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