Oviedo vs Girona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.29
Away Win
2.98
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oviedo edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Girona edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oviedo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oviedo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Oviedo have secured three victories from their last five home outings, Girona's away record over the same span shows just one win alongside two draws and two defeats. Oviedo have found the net in five of their last five home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of that same recent sequence. Oviedo rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head, while Girona rate stronger on defence. Oviedo won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 31 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Girona's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Oviedo's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Girona's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Oviedo
Oviedo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oviedo win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 39.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
39.0% → 39.8%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.9% → 28.5%
−0.4 pts
Girona win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.2% → 31.7%
−0.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oviedo
Draw
Girona
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Oviedo
Girona
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
13
Games Played
13
1.62
Points/Game
1.62
1.46
Goals/Game
1.69
1.23
Conceded/Game
0.92
15.6
Shots/Game
14.5
5.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Oviedo at home (8 matches) vs Girona away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.14
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.00
38%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oviedo
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Girona
Away form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oviedo Wins
1
Draws
2
Girona Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-01-312025-2026
Oviedo1 – 0Girona
2025-10-252025-2026
Girona3 – 3Oviedo
2022-03-062021-2022
Girona2 – 1Oviedo
2021-09-262021-2022
Oviedo0 – 0Girona
2021-04-252020-2021
Oviedo0 – 1Girona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oviedo
vs
Girona
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded / game
0.70
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
72.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
27.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 48.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 54.5%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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