Oviedo vs Eibar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.10
Away Win
3.30
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Oviedo
Eibar
Mikel Goti Lopez (Enzo Pérez Miranda) ⚽
3'
12'
🟨 Unai Elgezabal Udondo
David Jimenez 🟨
21'
42'
🟨 Anaitz Arbilla
Carlos Dominguez ⚽
45'
Carlos Dominguez 🟨
53'
74'
⚽ Iván Gil (Javier Martón Ansó)
Dani Calvo 🟨
79'
Carlos Dominguez (Aritz Aldasoro) ⚽
85'
Daniel Villahermosa 🟨
90+3'
90+4'
🟨 Juan Bernat
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
16
Total Shots
18
7
Shots on Goal
6
10
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Oviedo (4-3-2-1)
Aarón Escandell
David Jiménez
Dani Calvo
Carlos Domínguez
S. Rodriguez
Aritz Aldasoro
Y. Didi
Enzo Perez
Mikel Goti
Alberto Reina
V. Mingo
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Jon Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla
Juan Bernat
Ander Madariaga
Aleix Garrido
Malcom Adu
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Bautista
Player Ratings ?
Oviedo
Carlos DomínguezD8.2
Mikel GotiM8.2
Aritz AldasoroM7.6
Eibar
Jon BautistaF7.2
Jon GuruzetaM6.8
Iván GilM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oviedo edge defence and head-to-head, Eibar edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Eibar arrive with an impressive away record, having secured five straight victories in their last five outings, while Oviedo have been more mixed at home with two wins and two draws from their last five matches. At home, Oviedo have found the net in just two of their last five matches, yet they have kept three clean sheets during that same period. Eibar rate stronger on form and attack, while Oviedo rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Eibar points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 40.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.1% → 40.5%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.0% → 30.1%
+0.1 pts
Eibar win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.9% → 29.4%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oviedo
Draw
Eibar
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OviedoEibar
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
1st
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
2.63
1.00
Goals/Game
2.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.88
15.6
Shots/Game
13.0
5.2
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Oviedo at home (8 matches) vs Eibar away (9 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.67
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.44
38%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oviedo
Home form
D
L
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Eibar
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oviedo Wins
3
Draws
1
Eibar Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Oviedo3 – 1Eibar
Eibar1 – 1Oviedo
Oviedo1 – 0Eibar
Eibar4 – 3Oviedo
Oviedo2 – 1Eibar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oviedovs
Eibar
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 16 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.0%→Latest 43.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 50.0%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?