Mallorca vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
4.28
Away Win
5.65
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Pablo Torre (Josep Cerda) ⚽
27'
Adrian Liso 🟨
44'
52'
🟨 Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi
Alex Sala (Adrian Fuentes) ⚽
53'
62'
🟨 Elías Romero
73'
⚽ Iván Jaime (Jefte Betancor Sanchez)
Adrian Fuentes (Sergi Darder) ⚽
82'
86'
🟨 Juanma Herzog
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
12
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Mallorca (4-4-2)
Arnau Tenas
John Nwankwo
M. Valjent
Raíllo
Alberto Moreno
Adrian Liso
Antonio Sánchez
Álex Sala
Josep Cerdà
Fuentes
Pablo Torre
Las Palmas (4-5-1)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
Juan Herzog
Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario
T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice
Iñaki González Zambrano
Kirian Rodríguez
Iván Jaime
Jefté Betancor
Player Ratings ?
Mallorca
FuentesF8.5
Álex SalaM8.2
Pablo TorreF8.1
Las Palmas
Iván JaimeM7.0
Valentín PezzolesiD6.7
Jefté BetancorF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mallorca
Mallorca rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Mallorca a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca have secured four victories from their last five home outings, while Las Palmas have managed only two wins in an identical sample of away matches. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games and have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Mallorca rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Mallorca won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 16 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Las Palmas's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Mallorca a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 59.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.5% → 59.2%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.1%
−0.5 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 17.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.9% → 17.7%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mallorca
Draw
Las Palmas
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MallorcaLas Palmas

Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
12th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.38
Conceded/Game
1.62
13.2
Shots/Game
9.9
4.1
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Mallorca at home (7 matches) vs Las Palmas away (7 matches)
2.57
Points/Game
1.71
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
2.14
86%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Mallorca
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Las Palmas
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mallorca Wins
3
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Mallorca3 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas2 – 3Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 0Las Palmas
Las Palmas1 – 1Mallorca
Las Palmas1 – 1Mallorca
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mallorcavs
Las Palmas

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.7%→Latest 54.1%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 52.8%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Mallorca's 10 matches and 2 of Las Palmas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?