Mallorca vs Cadiz Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.48
Away Win
7.29
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Mallorca
Cadiz
Antonio Sánchez 🟨
5'
Sergi Darder 🟨
23'
43'
🟨 Bojan Kovacevic
50'
⚽ Antonio Cordero (Dilan Zárate)
55'
🟨 Antonio Cordero
Pablo Torre (Zito Luvumbo) ⚽
63'
Adrian Fuentes (Alex Sala) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
23
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
10
Corner Kicks
2
17
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Mallorca (4-4-2)
Arnau Tenas
Antonio Sánchez
M. Valjent
Raíllo
Alberto Moreno
Zito Luvumbo
Álex Sala
Darder
Adrian Liso
Fuentes
Pablo Torre
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
Jokin Ezkieta
Javi Castro
B. Kovačević
N. Ukwuije
Sergio Arribas
Damián Rodríguez
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Borja Vazquez
Ibon Sánchez
Antonio Cordero
Álvaro García
Player Ratings ?
Mallorca
Pablo TorreF8.2
Zito LuvumboM7.7
Álex SalaM7.7
Cadiz
Antonio CorderoM7.8
D. A. Zarate HidalgoM6.7
Jokin EzkietaG6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mallorca edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca arrive at home with four victories from their last five outings, while Cadiz head to the match having recorded three draws and two defeats in the same period away from home. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home and have kept three clean sheets in that identical sample. Mallorca rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 28 April 2024, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Mallorca's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points, while Cadiz's implied win probability has risen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Cadiz losing run
3
Cadiz points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Mallorca remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 64.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
63.5% → 64.6%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.9% → 21.6%
−1.3 pts
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 13.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.6% → 13.8%
+0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 2
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mallorca
Draw
Cadiz
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Mallorca
Cadiz
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
19th
11
Games Played
11
1.73
Points/Game
0.91
1.18
Goals/Game
1.27
0.55
Conceded/Game
1.27
13.2
Shots/Game
11.5
4.1
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Mallorca at home (7 matches) vs Cadiz away (7 matches)
2.57
Points/Game
0.43
2.00
Goals/Game
1.14
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.86
86%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mallorca
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Cadiz
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mallorca Wins
2
Draws
2
Cadiz Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-11-012026-2027
Mallorca2 – 1Cadiz
2024-04-282023-2024
Cadiz1 – 1Mallorca
2023-11-292023-2024
Mallorca1 – 1Cadiz
2023-05-122022-2023
Mallorca1 – 0Cadiz
2023-01-282022-2023
Cadiz2 – 0Mallorca
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mallorca
vs
Cadiz
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
30.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 52.3%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 2
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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