Leganes vs Mallorca Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Butarque
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.31
Draw
3.17
Away Win
2.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Leganes
Mallorca
Ismael Gharbi 🟨
30'
34'
⚽ Zito Luvumbo
Rubén Pulido 🟨
43'
49'
🟨 Antonio Sánchez
52'
🟨 Luis García Fernández
54'
🟨 Alex Sala
Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez 🟨
54'
Álex Millán (Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez) ⚽
57'
61'
🟨 Arnau Tenas
Dani Rodriguez 🟨
62'
Andres Campos 🟨
88'
90+1'
🟨 Antonio Latorre Grueso
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
4
20
Fouls
12
5
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Leganes (4-2-3-1)
Raúl Fernández
Rubén Peña
Rubén Pulido
Javi Montero
Enric Franquesa
Ismaël Gharbi
A. Diawara
P. Soko
Dani Rodríguez
Álex Sancris
Álex Millán
Mallorca (4-2-3-1)
Arnau Tenas
M. Calatayud
M. Valjent
Raíllo
Alberto Moreno
Álex Sala
Antonio Sánchez
Zito Luvumbo
Pablo Torre
Adrian Liso
Fuentes
Player Ratings ?
Leganes
Álex MillánF8.0
Enric FranquesaD7.0
Naim GarcíaF6.9
Mallorca
Zito LuvumboM7.8
RaílloD7.1
Alberto MorenoD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mallorca
Mallorca rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Mallorca an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca arrive with an impressive unbeaten run from their last five away fixtures, securing just a solitary victory amidst four draws, whereas Leganes have endured a difficult period at home with only one win and four defeats in their most recent five outings. At home, Leganes have found the net in just one of their last five matches while failing to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Mallorca rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Mallorca.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Leganes points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leganes win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 29.6%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.6%
+0.4 pts
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.6% → 40.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leganes
Draw
Mallorca
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeganesMallorca

Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.80
0.60
Goals/Game
1.20
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
12.0
Shots/Game
13.2
4.2
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Leganes at home (10 matches) vs Mallorca away (8 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
1.12
0.80
Goals/Game
0.62
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.75
20%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Leganes
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Mallorca
Away form
D
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leganes Wins
0
Draws
2
Mallorca Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.0
Mallorca0 – 0Leganes
Leganes0 – 1Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 0Leganes
Leganes0 – 1Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 1Leganes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leganesvs
Mallorca

Recent Scoring Profile
0.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
1/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
9/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.3%→Latest 44.2%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 50.1%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?