Leganes vs Cordoba Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Butarque
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.38
Draw
3.57
Away Win
2.96
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Leganes
Cordoba
Álvaro Morata 🟨
70'
Álex Millán 🟨
71'
Yassine Kechta 🟨
72'
76'
🟨 Álex Martín
83'
⚽ Eder Garcia (Cristian Carracedo)
89'
🟨 Victor Sánchez Morales
Álvaro Morata 🟥
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
7
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Leganes (3-4-2-1)
L. Zidane
Rubén Pulido
Ignasi Miquel
Javi Montero
Álvaro Tejero
Y. Kechta
Z. Buurmeester
Naim García
Álex Sancris
Ismaël Gharbi
P. Soko
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Iker Álvarez
Daniel Budesca
Juan Gutiérrez
Álex Martín
Dani Tasende
Eder García
Isma Ruiz
Adnane Ghailan
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Diego Bri
Player Ratings ?
Leganes
Ignasi MiquelD6.9
Z. BuurmeesterM6.8
L. ZidaneG6.7
Cordoba
Eder GarcíaM8.2
Cristian CarracedoF7.7
Isma RuizM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leganes edge recent form, Cordoba edge attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leganes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cordoba slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leganes enjoy a solid run at home with three wins from their last five outings, while Cordoba have struggled away with just one win in the same period. At home, Leganes have scored in three of their last five matches but have also managed two clean sheets in that identical sample. Leganes rate stronger on form, while Cordoba rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Cordoba won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Leganes's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Cordoba losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Cordoba points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Leganes
Leganes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leganes win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leganes win
Latest market chance 40.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.9% → 40.6%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.9%
+0.4 pts
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
31.7% → 32.5%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leganes
Draw
Cordoba
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeganesCordoba
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
18th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
2.22
12.0
Shots/Game
15.8
4.2
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Leganes at home (10 matches) vs Cordoba away (10 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
1.10
0.80
Goals/Game
1.50
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.80
20%
Win Rate
30%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leganes
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cordoba
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leganes Wins
2
Draws
1
Cordoba Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Cordoba2 – 1Leganes
Leganes0 – 0Cordoba
Cordoba2 – 3Leganes
Leganes3 – 1Cordoba
Leganes0 – 1Cordoba
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leganesvs
Cordoba
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded / game
2.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
1/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
7/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 55.6%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 59.5%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?