Leganes vs Albacete Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Butarque
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.61
Away Win
3.83
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Leganes
Albacete
20'
⚽ Antonio Pacheco Ruiz (Sergio Ortuno Diaz)
34'
🟨 Álex Rubio Roldán
45+3'
⚽ Álex Rubio Roldán
45+6'
🟨 Jesús Vallejo
Zico Buurmeester 🟨
45+7'
47'
🟨 Víctor San Bartolomé
Patrick Soko 🟨
57'
59'
⚽ (P) Higinio Marín
Álvaro Tejero 🟨
65'
Álvaro Morata (Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez) ⚽
68'
Unax del Cura 🟨
80'
80'
🟨 Carlos Neva
82'
🟨 Pepe Sánchez
84'
🟨 Diego Mariño
Álvaro Morata 🟨
85'
Álvaro Morata •
86'
Francisco Montero 🟥
90+9'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
5
20
Fouls
14
5
Yellow Cards
6
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Leganes (4-4-2)
L. Zidane
Rubén Peña
Javi Montero
Marvel
Enric Franquesa
Álex Sancris
Miguel Atienza
Z. Buurmeester
Ismaël Gharbi
Álex Millán
Álvaro Morata
Albacete (3-5-2)
Diego Mariño
Vallejo
Lluís López
Carlos Neva
Lorenzo Aguado
Antonio Pacheco
Sergio Ortu
San Bartolomé
Víctor Valverde
Alex Rubio
Higinio Marín
Player Ratings ?
Leganes
Álvaro MorataF7.7
Álex SancrisM7.4
Andrés CamposF6.7
Albacete
Antonio PachecoM7.7
Alex RubioF7.6
Diego MariñoG7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leganes edge attack and head-to-head, Albacete edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leganes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leganes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Albacete arrive with a poor away record of five defeats from their last five outings, while Leganes have managed two draws in three losses at home during the same period. Leganes have found the net in just two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in that sequence. Albacete rate stronger on form, while Leganes rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Leganes won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 11 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Albacete's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Leganes's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points, while Albacete's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Albacete losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Albacete points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Leganes
Leganes's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leganes win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leganes win
Latest market chance 46.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
45.8% → 46.9%
+1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.3%
±0.0 pts
Albacete win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.9% → 25.8%
−1.1 pts
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeganesAlbacete
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
21st
12
Games Played
12
1.00
Points/Game
0.58
0.83
Goals/Game
0.83
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.92
12.0
Shots/Game
12.2
4.2
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Leganes at home (10 matches) vs Albacete away (11 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
0.64
0.80
Goals/Game
0.91
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.27
20%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leganes
Home form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Albacete
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leganes Wins
3
Draws
0
Albacete Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Leganes2 – 1Albacete
Albacete1 – 3Leganes
Albacete1 – 0Leganes
Leganes2 – 0Albacete
Albacete1 – 0Leganes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leganesvs
Albacete
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.50
Goals conceded / game
2.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.6%→Latest 49.9%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 54.2%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?