Las Palmas vs Sociedad B Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gran Canaria
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.01
Draw
3.72
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Las Palmas
Sociedad B
Jesé Rodríguez ⚽
8'
33'
🟨 Iker Calderon
55'
🟨 Inaki Ruperez
Sergio Viera García 🟨
63'
Jesé Rodríguez 🟨
76'
Aboubacar Bassinga 🟨
89'
90+3'
🟨 Jon Eceizabarrena
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
Juan Herzog
G. Bonfanti
T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice
Sergio Viera
Iván Jaime
Jesé
Manu Fuster
Sociedad B (4-4-2)
Lander Olasagasti
Rupérez
I. Calderon
K. Kita
Jon Balda
Dani Díaz
Tomás Carbonell
Ibai Aguirre
Alex Garcia
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Carrera
Player Ratings ?
Las Palmas
JeséF7.8
Álex SuárezD7.6
G. BonfantiD7.5
Sociedad B
Lander OlasagastiG7.2
Alex GarciaM6.9
Dani DíazM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Las Palmas edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Sociedad B edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad B stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Las Palmas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sociedad B have managed just one victory from their last five away outings, while Las Palmas remain winless in three of their previous five home matches. Las Palmas have found the net in two of their last five home games but have only kept one clean sheet during that same run. Las Palmas rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while Sociedad B rate stronger on attack. The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Las Palmas's implied win probability has fallen by 4.3 percentage points, while Sociedad B's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Las Palmas
Las Palmas's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Las Palmas win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 47.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
52.1% → 47.8%
−4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.0% → 25.8%
+0.8 pts
Sociedad B win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
22.9% → 26.4%
+3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Las Palmas
Draw
Sociedad B
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Las PalmasSociedad B
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
19th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
0.80
1.30
Goals/Game
1.40
1.90
Conceded/Game
2.10
9.9
Shots/Game
12.8
3.7
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Las Palmas at home (10 matches) vs Sociedad B away (11 matches)
1.70
Points/Game
0.82
1.10
Goals/Game
1.00
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.82
50%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Las Palmas
Home form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad B
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Las Palmas Wins
2
Draws
2
Sociedad B Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.5
Sociedad B1 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas2 – 1Sociedad B
Las Palmas0 – 0Sociedad B
Sociedad B0 – 1Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Las Palmasvs
Sociedad B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 56.0%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 59.1%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?